{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8c774bd0-e4b8-4da1-a431-f291c5ae9fd5", "symbol": "301246", "name": "Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 61.691, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -29.007, "architecture_energy": 66.096, "architecture_maturity": 17.303, "architecture_confidence": 71.931, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.48, "rotation_up": 14.15, "upward_expansion": 30.23, "deceleration": 49.08, "rotation_down": 71.33, "downward_expansion": 57.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.72, 21.831753, 24.765634, 24.74395 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.879999, "trend_reference": 24.315645, "distance_from_trend": -0.141294, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.120494, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.092022, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.266977, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.009018, "excess_performance": -0.016417, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.141294, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051825, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.092022, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.450062, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.04267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.386366, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.009018, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.236445, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46079823, "relative_activity": 0.611298, "balance": 1.236445, "dry_up": 0.742448, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155876, "annualized_volatility": 0.640733, "from_high_reference": -0.412116, "from_low_reference": 0.494631 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.315645, "fair_value_reference": 19.120494, "structural_low": 16.68, "invalidation": 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.23888, "energy": 61.262706, "activity_lines": [ 21.117334, 23.892172, 25.887819, 25.359216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.76, "volume": 56883050, "typical_volume": 75014486.3, "trend": 24.452978, "fair_value": 19.195998, "relative_strength": -9.318909, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.050888, "energy": 70.292137, "activity_lines": [ 19.808667, 22.548387, 25.218536, 24.974465 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.879999, "volume": 46079823, "typical_volume": 75380346.5, "trend": 24.315645, "fair_value": 19.120494, "relative_strength": -4.266977, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.007235, "energy": 66.096103, "activity_lines": [ 19.72, 21.831753, 24.765634, 24.74395 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }