{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8c85f3e5-1f85-4c22-8d62-c3e1b786d891",
    "symbol": "P1KG34",
    "name": "Packaging Corporation of America",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 51.613,
    "architecture_energy": 40.766,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.211,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.06,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.29,
        "rotation_up": 44.42,
        "upward_expansion": 67.71,
        "deceleration": 61.23,
        "rotation_down": 24.51,
        "downward_expansion": 17.71
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 590.630005,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.044619,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 502.237701,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175997,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.919952,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.015853,
    "excess_performance": 0.072901,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044619,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02195,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175997,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036676,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0092,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169554,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015853,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.068966,
        "read": "Demand-led"
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    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 4.068966,
      "dry_up": 0.85827,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
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      "annualized_volatility": 0.242472,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047678,
      "from_low_reference": 0.164685
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 502.237701,
      "structural_low": 507.115503,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 255.95,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -10.087221,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 23.462055,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 553.680198,
        "fair_value": 486.392082,
        "relative_strength": -3.481633,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 14.144715,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -5.166593,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 620.200012,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 116.2,
        "trend": 558.068604,
        "fair_value": 491.696694,
        "relative_strength": 3.36887,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.049302,
        "energy": 60.503778,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 620.200012,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 116.2,
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        "fair_value": 493.747633,
        "relative_strength": 2.835753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.765828,
        "energy": 78.735064,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 578.090027,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 126.2,
        "trend": 562.53971,
        "fair_value": 495.503256,
        "relative_strength": -5.811835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.135197,
        "energy": 70.185219,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 578.090027,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 126.2,
        "trend": 563.14022,
        "fair_value": 497.25888,
        "relative_strength": -3.13863,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.505732,
        "energy": 67.492724,
        "activity_lines": [
          590.523352,
          580.300022,
          563.366961,
          562.194215
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 590.630005,
        "volume": 522,
        "typical_volume": 152.3,
        "trend": 564.15873,
        "fair_value": 499.061372,
        "relative_strength": -0.829017,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.243035,
        "energy": 53.498795,
        "activity_lines": [
          590.692017,
          584.100265,
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          563.967749
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 590.630005,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 152.15,
        "trend": 564.923543,
        "fair_value": 500.649537,
        "relative_strength": -2.555366,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.201506,
        "energy": 41.970769,
        "activity_lines": [
          588.421346,
          586.906527,
          569.932227,
          565.675573
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 590.630005,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 152.05,
        "trend": 565.40212,
        "fair_value": 502.237701,
        "relative_strength": 0.919952,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.61344,
        "energy": 40.766349,
        "activity_lines": [
          588.122009,
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          573.088534,
          567.334055
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}