{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8c9ecbb1-540b-456a-9e1e-9afbd973f40f",
    "symbol": "PSRE",
    "name": "Invesco RAFI Europe Fundamental Value UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 68.716,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.485,
    "architecture_energy": 76.747,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.565,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.941,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.84,
        "rotation_up": 77.78,
        "upward_expansion": 91.51,
        "deceleration": 42.11,
        "rotation_down": 10.07,
        "downward_expansion": 15.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        1355.927579
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 1406.2,
    "trend_reference": 1346.211169,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.044561,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1106.630419,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.270704,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.091369,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.047159,
    "excess_performance": -0.004076,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044561,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026664,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270704,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015506,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000914,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019592,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047159,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.618085,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10344,
      "relative_activity": 0.633674,
      "balance": 1.618085,
      "dry_up": 0.893401,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017042,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.138733,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005798,
      "from_low_reference": 0.215457
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1346.211169,
      "fair_value_reference": 1106.630419,
      "structural_low": 1238.199951,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.012247,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004545,
        "regime_survival": 0.735294,
        "best_return": 0.084205,
        "worst_return": -0.128605,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
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        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.074654,
        "worst_return": -0.027628,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.06144,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "fair_value": 1097.597332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1369.6,
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        "typical_volume": 18372.05,
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        "fair_value": 1100.414612,
        "relative_strength": -0.972367,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1392.0,
        "volume": 18401,
        "typical_volume": 18603.7,
        "trend": 1342.653587,
        "fair_value": 1103.467715,
        "relative_strength": -0.610799,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 52.883371,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1406.2,
        "volume": 10344,
        "typical_volume": 16323.85,
        "trend": 1346.211169,
        "fair_value": 1106.630419,
        "relative_strength": 0.091369,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}