{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ca21acf-4fe8-4022-b0f6-be4563b5108d", "symbol": "139280", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER Consumer Staples ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 55.317, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.442, "architecture_energy": 17.318, "architecture_maturity": 48.471, "architecture_confidence": 86.167, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.89, "rotation_up": 27.68, "upward_expansion": 16.25, "deceleration": 43.66, "rotation_down": 28.44, "downward_expansion": 61.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 12450.396094, 12325.316566, 12575.609533, 12808.527741 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13005.0, "trend_reference": 13090.050488, "distance_from_trend": -0.006497, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10416.670629, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24848, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.695698, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.035441, "excess_performance": -0.265269, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006497, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000271, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.24848, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092888, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176957, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.230454, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.035441, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.275577, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92753, "relative_activity": 1.217993, "balance": 0.275577, "dry_up": 1.21841, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059293, "annualized_volatility": 0.279077, "from_high_reference": -0.128082, "from_low_reference": 0.17464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13090.050488, "fair_value_reference": 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"down", "direction": -62.257914, "energy": 68.742159, "activity_lines": [ 12145.256901, 12374.214861, 12779.839848, 12990.630595 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12047.878906, "volume": 80362, "typical_volume": 83543.2, "trend": 13083.997266, "fair_value": 10331.387126, "relative_strength": -32.627294, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.500993, "energy": 60.484619, "activity_lines": [ 12099.977018, 12269.127521, 12685.697173, 12923.150118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12447.476563, "volume": 117780, "typical_volume": 76177.65, "trend": 13093.106022, "fair_value": 10361.463529, "relative_strength": -28.114215, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.882162, "energy": 36.667705, "activity_lines": [ 12221.371094, 12262.732866, 12640.976628, 12882.084266 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12030.0, "volume": 80244, "typical_volume": 73946.55, "trend": 13082.020117, "fair_value": 10386.691632, "relative_strength": -28.59046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.559213, "energy": 37.294072, "activity_lines": [ 12185.774544, 12194.66108, 12559.632789, 12813.49678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13005.0, "volume": 92753, "typical_volume": 76152.35, "trend": 13090.050488, "fair_value": 10416.670629, "relative_strength": -17.695698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.442263, "energy": 17.318412, "activity_lines": [ 12450.396094, 12325.316566, 12575.609533, 12808.527741 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }