{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8cac7b91-ea21-4aaf-b7db-a7015e17f8fb",
    "symbol": "PONNIERODE",
    "name": "Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 65.638,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.851,
    "architecture_energy": 24.718,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.338,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.997,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.85,
        "rotation_up": 39.57,
        "upward_expansion": 63.27,
        "deceleration": 62.07,
        "rotation_down": 22.76,
        "downward_expansion": 13.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        315.319999,
        316.099089,
        312.379438,
        304.34783
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 320.75,
    "trend_reference": 293.14803,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094157,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 364.103712,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.11907,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.28811,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.227281,
    "excess_performance": 0.270991,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094157,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047888,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11907,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030675,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112881,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001538,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227281,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.186714,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 143105,
      "relative_activity": 1.560732,
      "balance": 1.186714,
      "dry_up": 1.096665,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072189,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.279583,
      "from_high_reference": -0.106546,
      "from_low_reference": 0.2708
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 293.14803,
      "fair_value_reference": 364.103712,
      "structural_low": 257.649994,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.058198,
        "positive_rate": 0.411765,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.411765,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02639,
        "regime_survival": 0.647059,
        "best_return": 0.496238,
        "worst_return": -0.192491,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.14014,
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        "worst_return": -0.248318,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.285914,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.230259,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 12.142014,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 97195,
        "typical_volume": 98119.55,
        "trend": 288.214696,
        "fair_value": 365.511712,
        "relative_strength": 14.679375,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 60.73822,
        "energy": 37.582803,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 316.0,
        "volume": 92767,
        "typical_volume": 91106.5,
        "trend": 289.901363,
        "fair_value": 365.064611,
        "relative_strength": 13.769691,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 51.249654,
        "energy": 32.99979,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 302.649994,
        "volume": 69150,
        "typical_volume": 88760.1,
        "trend": 291.191363,
        "fair_value": 364.510983,
        "relative_strength": 6.075186,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.869964,
        "energy": 22.790679,
        "activity_lines": [
          313.449998,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 320.75,
        "volume": 143105,
        "typical_volume": 91690.95,
        "trend": 293.14803,
        "fair_value": 364.103712,
        "relative_strength": 11.28811,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.850932,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}