{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8caf17dd-ca2b-4ea8-b0e8-1235c960441a", "symbol": "3550", "name": "Copartner Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.408, "architecture_energy": 18.06, "architecture_maturity": 53.573, "architecture_confidence": 78.926, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.55, "rotation_up": 16.1, "upward_expansion": 40.84, "deceleration": 86.54, "rotation_down": 42.97, "downward_expansion": 34.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.773333, 25.008182, 25.088095, 23.782151 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.549999, "trend_reference": 21.865, "distance_from_trend": 0.077064, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.106743, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37665, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.134093, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.256, "excess_performance": -0.185372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077064, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.25685, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.37665, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084744, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061341, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025725, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.256, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.743802, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15283684, "relative_activity": 0.681369, "balance": 1.743802, "dry_up": 0.46762, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.228973, "annualized_volatility": 0.866768, "from_high_reference": -0.406801, "from_low_reference": 0.930328 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.865, "fair_value_reference": 17.106743, "structural_low": 14.9, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.079082, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.104228, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.067283, "worst_return": -0.126949, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.130128, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.155516, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.007004, "worst_return": -0.267261, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.230222, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.18877, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.06178, "worst_return": -0.398664, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.105978, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.145833, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.075862, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.087227, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.118243, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.003745, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.120623, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.048485, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.170667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.192405, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-11", "close": 15.65, "volume": 295355, "typical_volume": 772321.25, "trend": 15.006356, "fair_value": 14.922381, "relative_strength": -0.119789, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.594304, 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"direction": 26.265216, "energy": 18.481199, "activity_lines": [ 25.503334, 27.408182, 25.341191, 23.536344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.75, "volume": 6625423, "typical_volume": 23074345.65, "trend": 21.316667, "fair_value": 17.010269, "relative_strength": -16.824482, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.751652, "energy": 22.157185, "activity_lines": [ 22.923334, 26.086364, 24.997143, 23.446774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.549999, "volume": 11370673, "typical_volume": 22105556.15, "trend": 21.585, "fair_value": 17.061551, "relative_strength": 0.923402, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.407902, "energy": 25.893846, "activity_lines": [ 22.72, 25.673637, 25.103572, 23.655376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 23.549999, "volume": 15283684, "typical_volume": 22430844.7, "trend": 21.865, "fair_value": 17.106743, "relative_strength": -6.134093, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.407871, "energy": 18.059775, "activity_lines": [ 22.773333, 25.008182, 25.088095, 23.782151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }