{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8cc1d9cf-d155-43c5-ab00-9b747a1e777c", "symbol": "IND", "name": "Amundi STOXX Europe 600 Industrials UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.976, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.064, "architecture_energy": 43.036, "architecture_maturity": 22.448, "architecture_confidence": 81.32, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.58, "rotation_up": 50.64, "upward_expansion": 76.4, "deceleration": 58.09, "rotation_down": 21.5, "downward_expansion": 5.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 153.734667, 152.967691, 151.059757, 149.402611 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 157.979996, "trend_reference": 148.119566, "distance_from_trend": 0.066571, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 130.718333, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.208553, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.735689, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.066085, "excess_performance": 0.012774, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066571, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031571, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.208553, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047821, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027357, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027108, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.066085, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.985055, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6883, "relative_activity": 0.905372, "balance": 1.985055, "dry_up": 0.585506, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03331, "annualized_volatility": 0.232384, "from_high_reference": -0.012625, "from_low_reference": 0.211503 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 148.119566, "fair_value_reference": 130.718333, "structural_low": 130.399994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.02257, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.001388, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.04588, "worst_return": -0.133892, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.007312, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.021097, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.007312, "worst_return": -0.007312, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.120426, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.08225, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.120426, "worst_return": 0.120426, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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9695.3, "trend": 147.390666, "fair_value": 130.257018, "relative_strength": 2.26123, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.993375, "energy": 27.682789, "activity_lines": [ 151.225334, 151.234818, 149.427952, 148.337191 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 153.740005, "volume": 4131, "typical_volume": 8032.0, "trend": 147.815333, "fair_value": 130.4705, "relative_strength": 2.485579, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.664576, "energy": 27.83782, "activity_lines": [ 151.900002, 151.760328, 150.072329, 148.746826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 157.979996, "volume": 6883, "typical_volume": 7602.4, "trend": 148.119566, "fair_value": 130.718333, "relative_strength": 2.735689, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.064134, "energy": 43.035827, "activity_lines": [ 153.734667, 152.967691, 151.059757, 149.402611 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }