{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8cc6570d-afbf-4d59-9f3e-92d2c1a84772", "symbol": "300334", "name": "Tianjin MOTIMO Membrane Technology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.071, "architecture_energy": 27.625, "architecture_maturity": 54.92, "architecture_confidence": 62.66, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.46, "rotation_up": 14.21, "upward_expansion": 15.22, "deceleration": 72.33, "rotation_down": 60.95, "downward_expansion": 40.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.032667, 8.910182, 8.962857, 8.690817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.56, "trend_reference": 8.336, "distance_from_trend": 0.026871, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.839615, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.251532, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.50239, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.114583, "excess_performance": 0.107184, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026871, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09742, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.251532, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020067, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.055024, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128373, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.114583, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.417867, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43426600, "relative_activity": 0.856483, "balance": 0.417867, "dry_up": 1.321404, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.18422, "annualized_volatility": 0.812762, "from_high_reference": -0.393768, "from_low_reference": 0.316923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.336, "fair_value_reference": 6.839615, "structural_low": 6.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.069959, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.05291, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.585106, "worst_return": -0.136538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.069016, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.063266, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.145756, "worst_return": -0.088486, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.094477, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.041725, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.282288, "worst_return": -0.265458, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"gate": "up", "direction": 20.220355, "energy": 17.720689, "activity_lines": [ 9.376667, 9.840727, 9.17981, 8.769677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.46, "volume": 92395707, "typical_volume": 50845613.25, "trend": 8.265667, "fair_value": 6.84141, "relative_strength": -5.008939, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.720107, "energy": 20.640773, "activity_lines": [ 8.521333, 9.442, 9.066429, 8.718452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.56, "volume": 49965800, "typical_volume": 50370910.55, "trend": 8.282667, "fair_value": 6.835577, "relative_strength": -2.027658, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.246326, "energy": 29.48234, "activity_lines": [ 8.010667, 9.079636, 8.965571, 8.672925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.56, "volume": 43426600, "typical_volume": 50703380.45, "trend": 8.336, "fair_value": 6.839615, "relative_strength": 5.50239, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.070881, "energy": 27.62472, "activity_lines": [ 8.032667, 8.910182, 8.962857, 8.690817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }