{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8cd5c996-d0d6-407d-a697-01f958bd7156", "symbol": "AIXC", "name": "AIxCrypto Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.054, "architecture_energy": 74.739, "architecture_maturity": 76.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.707, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.52, "rotation_up": 9.7, "upward_expansion": 16.86, "deceleration": 37.51, "rotation_down": 75.94, "downward_expansion": 92.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.786067, 0.916936, 1.083869, 1.152874 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.822, "trend_reference": 1.285437, "distance_from_trend": -0.360529, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.1815, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.926486, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.677685, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.421127, "excess_performance": -0.60858, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.360529, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.284185, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.926486, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01586, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.636777, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088226, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.421127, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.369973, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 144309, "relative_activity": 0.433118, "balance": 2.369973, "dry_up": 0.581576, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.310715, "annualized_volatility": 0.879476, "from_high_reference": -0.906697, "from_low_reference": 0.324952 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.285437, "fair_value_reference": 11.1815, "structural_low": 0.6204, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 55, "median_return": -0.105441, "positive_rate": 0.309091, "directional_follow_through": 0.690909, "median_excess_return": -0.112752, "regime_survival": 0.945455, "best_return": 1.826816, "worst_return": -0.46911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.316562, "positive_rate": 0.210526, "directional_follow_through": 0.789474, "median_excess_return": -0.347292, "regime_survival": 0.894737, "best_return": 0.373626, "worst_return": -0.552838, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.459253, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.580053, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": -0.184332, "worst_return": -0.718836, "sufficient": true }, { 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1.249273, 1.286429, 1.359265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.02, "volume": 141237, "typical_volume": 374720.75, "trend": 1.523433, "fair_value": 12.575249, "relative_strength": -58.41497, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.881665, "energy": 47.242066, "activity_lines": [ 1.136667, 1.200364, 1.262095, 1.323581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.7751, "volume": 153791, "typical_volume": 348137.8, "trend": 1.457937, "fair_value": 12.246884, "relative_strength": -66.20748, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.160989, "energy": 74.686144, "activity_lines": [ 0.9917, 1.115291, 1.215486, 1.275301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8212, "volume": 269578, "typical_volume": 353667.5, "trend": 1.40131, "fair_value": 11.877116, "relative_strength": -62.801033, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.897388, "energy": 76.146757, "activity_lines": [ 0.903093, 1.049416, 1.175004, 1.234221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.6618, "volume": 207414, "typical_volume": 350453.35, "trend": 1.34337, "fair_value": 11.506359, "relative_strength": -69.648054, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.805794, "energy": 82.283531, "activity_lines": [ 0.80394, 0.962902, 1.12067, 1.186511 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.822, "volume": 144309, "typical_volume": 333186.2, "trend": 1.285437, "fair_value": 11.1815, "relative_strength": -63.677685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.054462, "energy": 74.738589, "activity_lines": [ 0.786067, 0.916936, 1.083869, 1.152874 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }