{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8cd6a4a1-7478-4d21-b484-802c98909b53", "symbol": "6271", "name": "Tong Hsing Electronic Industries, Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.582, "architecture_energy": 23.155, "architecture_maturity": 52.889, "architecture_confidence": 74.244, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.6, "rotation_up": 14.8, "upward_expansion": 42.16, "deceleration": 86.94, "rotation_down": 44.08, "downward_expansion": 33.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 187.0, 206.672727, 212.600239, 202.453415 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 194.0, "trend_reference": 186.898544, "distance_from_trend": 0.037996, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 138.231956, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.403438, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.807943, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.331903, "excess_performance": -0.109469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037996, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208971, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.403438, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058311, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019791, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.331903, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.340145, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24164071, "relative_activity": 0.574778, "balance": 4.340145, "dry_up": 0.76926, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.196863, "annualized_volatility": 0.734968, "from_high_reference": -0.339012, "from_low_reference": 0.970468 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 186.898544, "fair_value_reference": 138.231956, "structural_low": 138.250009, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.031056, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.047308, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.230924, "worst_return": -0.078712, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.10766, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.070509, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.864895, "worst_return": -0.116665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.103411, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.059225, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.453782, "worst_return": -0.396724, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"up", "direction": 29.107102, "energy": 20.75439, "activity_lines": [ 221.733333, 232.629545, 218.10387, 202.513066 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 160.0, "volume": 35044858, "typical_volume": 40411759.35, "trend": 182.441461, "fair_value": 137.25322, "relative_strength": -19.201106, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.767446, "energy": 20.432948, "activity_lines": [ 196.533333, 218.809091, 214.229138, 201.125808 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 193.5, "volume": 47942569, "typical_volume": 41587940.15, "trend": 184.480627, "fair_value": 137.752636, "relative_strength": -4.725007, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.848147, "energy": 25.075705, "activity_lines": [ 188.833333, 212.237159, 213.488334, 201.839262 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 194.0, "volume": 24164071, "typical_volume": 42040725.95, "trend": 186.898544, "fair_value": 138.231956, "relative_strength": -7.807943, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.582234, "energy": 23.155417, "activity_lines": [ 187.0, 206.672727, 212.600239, 202.453415 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }