{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ce703fd-6b40-47e7-8399-63b870f69055", "symbol": "002161", "name": "Invengo Information Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.52, "architecture_energy": 48.269, "architecture_maturity": 68.953, "architecture_confidence": 90.842, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.65, "rotation_up": 26.33, "upward_expansion": 7.44, "deceleration": 60.17, "rotation_down": 50.61, "downward_expansion": 80.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.388432, 5.408298, 5.818148, 6.294808 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.92, "trend_reference": 6.933949, "distance_from_trend": -0.14623, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.00953, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014898, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.689092, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.334083, "excess_performance": -0.341483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14623, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086035, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014898, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221109, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216891, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001222, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.334083, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.552272, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97823587, "relative_activity": 1.143055, "balance": 0.552272, "dry_up": 1.186665, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112224, "annualized_volatility": 0.448953, "from_high_reference": -0.374207, "from_low_reference": 0.327354 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.933949, "fair_value_reference": 6.00953, "structural_low": 4.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.047962, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": 0.003223, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.356979, "worst_return": -0.165039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.347658, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.258586, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.872236, "worst_return": 0.033684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.197887, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.195028, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.4914, "worst_return": 0.113248, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -76.88208, "energy": 71.658658, "activity_lines": [ 5.073122, 5.375697, 5.954038, 6.467081 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.43, "volume": 111092079, "typical_volume": 87919677.15, "trend": 6.980282, "fair_value": 6.005995, "relative_strength": -25.132398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.381651, "energy": 59.575218, "activity_lines": [ 5.150571, 5.337361, 5.856712, 6.363213 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.92, "volume": 97823587, "typical_volume": 85580810.5, "trend": 6.933949, "fair_value": 6.00953, "relative_strength": -21.689092, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.519572, "energy": 48.268778, "activity_lines": [ 5.388432, 5.408298, 5.818148, 6.294808 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }