{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ce7f962-83a4-47a8-90ee-d2971e8507a6", "symbol": "PE&OLES", "name": "Industrias Pe\u00f1oles, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.856, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.714, "architecture_energy": 21.604, "architecture_maturity": 47.511, "architecture_confidence": 70.668, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.44, "rotation_up": 28.41, "upward_expansion": 17.33, "deceleration": 42.59, "rotation_down": 26.9, "downward_expansion": 60.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 827.305322, 811.791444, 849.273603, 872.767543 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 885.97998, "trend_reference": 915.890776, "distance_from_trend": -0.032658, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 482.732203, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.835345, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.159475, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.194271, "excess_performance": -0.139604, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032658, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006574, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.835345, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.509684, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021595, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197004, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.194271, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.156974, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1562068, "relative_activity": 1.008662, "balance": 1.156974, "dry_up": 0.88741, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083393, "annualized_volatility": 0.603827, "from_high_reference": -0.279406, "from_low_reference": 0.708897 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 915.890776, "fair_value_reference": 482.732203, 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"relative_strength": -5.810732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.912914, "energy": 50.004728, "activity_lines": [ 792.424658, 807.147084, 854.663054, 883.016403 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 797.299988, "volume": 1186895, "typical_volume": 1717542.3, "trend": 919.22915, "fair_value": 478.488347, "relative_strength": -7.620587, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.667009, "energy": 38.584951, "activity_lines": [ 795.833325, 800.167628, 847.487399, 874.912651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 885.97998, "volume": 1562068, "typical_volume": 1548653.1, "trend": 915.890776, "fair_value": 482.732203, "relative_strength": 2.159475, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.713826, "energy": 21.604196, "activity_lines": [ 827.305322, 811.791444, 849.273603, 872.767543 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }