{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8cffd888-ab86-486d-9e9d-41044f15998d", "symbol": "IMCD", "name": "IMCD N.V.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 67.133, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.358, "architecture_energy": 76.799, "architecture_maturity": 31.865, "architecture_confidence": 57.93, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.09, "rotation_up": 80.4, "upward_expansion": 86.99, "deceleration": 47.03, "rotation_down": 8.18, "downward_expansion": 13.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 94.206667, 90.158909, 89.902905, 88.42054 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 101.0, "trend_reference": 86.081224, "distance_from_trend": 0.17331, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 115.712985, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.127151, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.698983, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.1934, "excess_performance": 0.019153, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.17331, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04739, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.127151, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080675, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.03699, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096673, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1934, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 3.862946, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04671, "annualized_volatility": 0.434196, "from_high_reference": -0.020843, "from_low_reference": 0.499847 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 86.081224, "fair_value_reference": 115.712985, "structural_low": 67.340223, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the 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"activity_lines": [ 85.256001, 85.881455, 87.793125, 86.468266 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 88.32, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 183.95, "trend": 84.665977, "fair_value": 116.083629, "relative_strength": -14.395343, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.358136, "energy": 16.059865, "activity_lines": [ 86.660001, 86.059637, 87.96666, 86.732985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 95.099998, "volume": 1847, "typical_volume": 269.85, "trend": 85.276905, "fair_value": 115.860675, "relative_strength": -7.156572, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.68602, "energy": 40.415655, "activity_lines": [ 89.945333, 87.607273, 88.704065, 87.406147 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 101.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 263.4, "trend": 86.081224, "fair_value": 115.712985, "relative_strength": -3.698983, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.357947, "energy": 76.798894, "activity_lines": [ 94.206667, 90.158909, 89.902905, 88.42054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }