{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d0049f8-12e9-444e-a4ba-e6c1be8c73d5", "symbol": "MIRZAINT", "name": "Mirza International Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.236, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.431, "architecture_energy": 19.93, "architecture_maturity": 32.961, "architecture_confidence": 72.375, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.89, "rotation_up": 36.69, "upward_expansion": 63.21, "deceleration": 84.27, "rotation_down": 27.56, "downward_expansion": 17.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.773334, 34.996001, 33.841001, 33.334409 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 33.200001, "trend_reference": 33.252333, "distance_from_trend": -0.001574, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.354551, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.156387, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.41447, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.120763, "excess_performance": -0.077054, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001574, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03945, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.156387, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022365, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044145, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043464, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.120763, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.75681, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1091977, "relative_activity": 0.968151, "balance": 0.75681, "dry_up": 1.992153, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100718, "annualized_volatility": 0.475785, "from_high_reference": -0.245455, "from_low_reference": 0.330661 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.252333, "fair_value_reference": 39.354551, "structural_low": 24.950001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.078219, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.067493, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.147166, "worst_return": 0.009271, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.217101, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.131972, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.21848, "worst_return": 0.215722, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.926144, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.843955, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.78245, "worst_return": 0.069839, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.004464, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.11354, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.019065, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073232, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00406, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.162204, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", 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39.860001, "volume": 6801272, "typical_volume": 794817.7, "trend": 33.503333, "fair_value": 39.695449, "relative_strength": 16.985455, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.572138, "energy": 57.539615, "activity_lines": [ 35.933334, 33.965637, 32.838714, 32.911936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.740002, "volume": 5673472, "typical_volume": 1057679.1, "trend": 33.501333, "fair_value": 39.612051, "relative_strength": 12.647615, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.802623, "energy": 68.780945, "activity_lines": [ 37.338001, 35.012546, 33.46381, 33.249785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.060001, "volume": 1306723, "typical_volume": 1096231.5, "trend": 33.422, "fair_value": 39.531667, "relative_strength": 4.321363, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.595783, "energy": 59.91559, "activity_lines": [ 36.912668, 35.295455, 33.717429, 33.350344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.27, "volume": 915619, "typical_volume": 1109398.9, "trend": 33.295, "fair_value": 39.440449, "relative_strength": -3.511551, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.740115, "energy": 50.454859, "activity_lines": [ 35.780667, 35.178364, 33.788048, 33.340538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.200001, "volume": 1091977, "typical_volume": 1127899.45, "trend": 33.252333, "fair_value": 39.354551, "relative_strength": -4.41447, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.431207, "energy": 19.929501, "activity_lines": [ 34.773334, 34.996001, 33.841001, 33.334409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }