{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d0d1edd-619d-4999-b470-665860b0e166", "symbol": "CLIR", "name": "ClearSign Combustion Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.242, "architecture_energy": 38.246, "architecture_maturity": 73.523, "architecture_confidence": 92.837, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.06, "rotation_up": 23.11, "upward_expansion": 4.83, "deceleration": 53.67, "rotation_down": 46.85, "downward_expansion": 75.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.708, 3.746727, 4.055095, 4.29531 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.75, "trend_reference": 4.777067, "distance_from_trend": -0.214999, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.93435, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.527372, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.535601, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.353114, "excess_performance": -0.540567, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.214999, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197082, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.527372, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04842, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.445356, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039966, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.353114, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.608094, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39345, "relative_activity": 0.322907, "balance": 0.608094, "dry_up": 0.469998, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.176964, "annualized_volatility": 0.740468, "from_high_reference": -0.665179, "from_low_reference": 0.186709 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.777067, "fair_value_reference": 7.93435, "structural_low": 3.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.05, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.069973, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.3796, "worst_return": -0.384196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.066993, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.117311, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.592563, "worst_return": -0.501362, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.017836, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.169249, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.495652, "worst_return": -0.689373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.2412, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.411626, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.060696, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.182485, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.002214, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"direction": -63.595745, "energy": 59.459473, "activity_lines": [ 3.824, 4.008, 4.321433, 4.640441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.62, "volume": 37535, "typical_volume": 245001.35, "trend": 5.058667, "fair_value": 8.085632, "relative_strength": -45.917746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.792795, "energy": 57.738308, "activity_lines": [ 3.746, 3.903636, 4.237005, 4.543146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.49, "volume": 119617, "typical_volume": 223010.4, "trend": 4.972067, "fair_value": 8.023389, "relative_strength": -46.430479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.733918, "energy": 53.304618, "activity_lines": [ 3.655333, 3.792364, 4.149705, 4.441942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.86, "volume": 32573, "typical_volume": 126208.6, "trend": 4.910733, "fair_value": 7.976978, "relative_strength": -40.562951, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.735502, "energy": 45.000701, "activity_lines": [ 3.708, 3.770545, 4.106524, 4.370196 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.75, "volume": 39345, "typical_volume": 121846.2, "trend": 4.777067, "fair_value": 7.93435, "relative_strength": -44.535601, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.242465, "energy": 38.246467, "activity_lines": [ 3.708, 3.746727, 4.055095, 4.29531 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }