{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d0d7b3a-2dcc-464d-a5e6-25082e512593", "symbol": "6282", "name": "AcBel Polytech Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.196, "architecture_energy": 38.775, "architecture_maturity": 9.371, "architecture_confidence": 65.063, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.14, "rotation_up": 14.94, "upward_expansion": 20.99, "deceleration": 53.41, "rotation_down": 59.93, "downward_expansion": 45.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.526667, 49.494546, 51.98119, 51.530108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 47.799999, "trend_reference": 51.24, "distance_from_trend": -0.067135, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.068687, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.255625, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.925332, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.020278, "excess_performance": -0.421095, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.067135, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076923, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.255625, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071019, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219253, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12787, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.020278, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.657018, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70587414, "relative_activity": 0.458946, "balance": 1.657018, "dry_up": 0.376648, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165111, "annualized_volatility": 0.559675, "from_high_reference": -0.324859, "from_low_reference": 0.757353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.24, "fair_value_reference": 38.068687, "structural_low": 38.400002, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-07-24", "close": 47.150002, "volume": 50179404, "typical_volume": 161352663.75, "trend": 50.996667, "fair_value": 38.185184, "relative_strength": -19.677165, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.634127, "energy": 13.256485, "activity_lines": [ 51.63, 54.467272, 53.749762, 52.553656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.400002, "volume": 58473176, "typical_volume": 161380474.2, "trend": 51.053333, "fair_value": 38.125906, "relative_strength": -26.699413, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.653231, "energy": 30.294717, "activity_lines": [ 48.033334, 51.935454, 52.823095, 51.999032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.150002, "volume": 52478799, "typical_volume": 154867985.75, "trend": 51.165, "fair_value": 38.087138, "relative_strength": -20.40507, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.644984, "energy": 31.20198, "activity_lines": [ 46.800001, 50.54, 52.366429, 51.747204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 47.799999, "volume": 70587414, "typical_volume": 153803383.05, "trend": 51.24, "fair_value": 38.068687, "relative_strength": -21.925332, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.196436, "energy": 38.775135, "activity_lines": [ 46.526667, 49.494546, 51.98119, 51.530108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }