{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8d1e50fb-a8f8-4054-86c7-0442f6c28cd3",
    "symbol": "RGT",
    "name": "Royce Global Value Trust Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.781,
    "architecture_energy": 79.445,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.305,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.236,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.09,
        "rotation_up": 82.05,
        "upward_expansion": 94.47,
        "deceleration": 39.13,
        "rotation_down": 9.58,
        "downward_expansion": 16.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        14.569669,
        14.419132
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 15.58,
    "trend_reference": 14.276453,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091307,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.347416,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.373,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.271296,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.088749,
    "excess_performance": -0.036876,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091307,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046099,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.373,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031435,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022713,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0181,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088749,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.46281,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 111653,
      "relative_activity": 1.463442,
      "balance": 1.46281,
      "dry_up": 1.137145,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033246,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.162999,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004473,
      "from_low_reference": 0.317027
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 11.347416,
      "structural_low": 12.96,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.010077,
        "positive_rate": 0.576923,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.576923,
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        "worst_return": -0.100625,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.174013,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.060371,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "fair_value": 10.763474,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 80387,
        "typical_volume": 77269.4,
        "trend": 13.976453,
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        "relative_strength": -1.583513,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 64119,
        "typical_volume": 76571.7,
        "trend": 14.03312,
        "fair_value": 11.183907,
        "relative_strength": -2.655814,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.540929,
        "energy": 25.131539,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.7,
        "volume": 107625,
        "typical_volume": 77307.55,
        "trend": 14.09012,
        "fair_value": 11.221855,
        "relative_strength": 0.61896,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.295575,
        "energy": 35.81159,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.314387,
          14.234725
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.59,
        "volume": 57324,
        "typical_volume": 75208.3,
        "trend": 14.136453,
        "fair_value": 11.259456,
        "relative_strength": 0.428197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.323473,
        "energy": 44.351893,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.536707,
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          14.35537,
          14.266975
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.12,
        "volume": 70431,
        "typical_volume": 74886.55,
        "trend": 14.20512,
        "fair_value": 11.301887,
        "relative_strength": 2.834955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.184142,
        "energy": 64.529627,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.756667,
          14.584236,
          14.443971,
          14.33043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.58,
        "volume": 111653,
        "typical_volume": 76294.8,
        "trend": 14.276453,
        "fair_value": 11.347416,
        "relative_strength": 2.271296,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.781016,
        "energy": 79.445283,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.066,
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          14.419132
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}