{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8d3aa473-4c02-4691-b498-01fe336c3223",
    "symbol": "KRW",
    "name": "Amundi MSCI Korea UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 2.73,
    "architecture_energy": 23.494,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.452,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.725,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.22,
        "rotation_up": 14.71,
        "upward_expansion": 42.34,
        "deceleration": 87.92,
        "rotation_down": 46.85,
        "downward_expansion": 36.34
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        160.050001,
        170.657056,
        173.271725,
        164.682309
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 160.259995,
    "trend_reference": 151.811034,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055654,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 80.604232,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.988233,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 23.523447,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.365263,
    "excess_performance": 0.311951,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055654,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.243515,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.988233,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.552979,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.235234,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.6884,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.365263,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.703049,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 104930,
      "relative_activity": 1.493647,
      "balance": 0.703049,
      "dry_up": 2.205596,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.117281,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.541736,
      "from_high_reference": -0.238417,
      "from_low_reference": 1.461524
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 151.811034,
      "fair_value_reference": 80.604232,
      "structural_low": 110.509003,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.009854,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010799,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.274229,
        "worst_return": -0.069267,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.011255,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.081797,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.580113,
        "worst_return": -0.122216,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.051823,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002812,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.07556,
        "worst_return": -0.07022,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.024207,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045989,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.131299,
        "worst_return": -0.179713,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.068669,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079398,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025431,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.048043,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.107828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.019962,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080384,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.132542,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.881681,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.231931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.075116,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013724,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 8481.7,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 78.111417,
        "relative_strength": 52.432281,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 53.870402,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 159.300003,
        "volume": 173277,
        "typical_volume": 67265.0,
        "trend": 145.594234,
        "fair_value": 78.735501,
        "relative_strength": 33.499469,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.828474,
        "energy": 24.808009,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 162.490005,
        "volume": 138412,
        "typical_volume": 63711.8,
        "trend": 148.055534,
        "fair_value": 79.36818,
        "relative_strength": 33.658715,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.873553,
        "energy": 26.016803,
        "activity_lines": [
          170.599337,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 153.520004,
        "volume": 203161,
        "typical_volume": 69194.1,
        "trend": 149.956201,
        "fair_value": 79.959482,
        "relative_strength": 22.718048,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.707021,
        "energy": 21.32233,
        "activity_lines": [
          162.82267,
          174.506657,
          173.677864,
          164.017548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 160.259995,
        "volume": 104930,
        "typical_volume": 70250.85,
        "trend": 151.811034,
        "fair_value": 80.604232,
        "relative_strength": 23.523447,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.729792,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}