{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d3c2797-079e-4d71-8f9b-de2b5d4286ca", "symbol": "002286", "name": "Baolingbao Biology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.808, "architecture_energy": 64.71, "architecture_maturity": 24.174, "architecture_confidence": 87.326, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.84, "rotation_up": 14.91, "upward_expansion": 12.88, "deceleration": 43.59, "rotation_down": 66.84, "downward_expansion": 86.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.802455, 8.047557, 8.596366, 8.993931 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.0, "trend_reference": 9.435904, "distance_from_trend": -0.152175, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.246633, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029907, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.941051, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.207921, "excess_performance": -0.215321, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.152175, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037611, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.029907, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.286318, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.199411, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011162, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.207921, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.812715, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46138739, "relative_activity": 1.383731, "balance": 0.812715, "dry_up": 1.202358, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087665, "annualized_volatility": 0.338484, "from_high_reference": -0.348534, "from_low_reference": 0.118881 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.435904, "fair_value_reference": 8.246633, "structural_low": 7.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.003231, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": 0.006845, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.131484, "worst_return": -0.086039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.009768, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.002289, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.242458, "worst_return": -0.078516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.02176, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.086053, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.068966, "worst_return": -0.175249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"direction": -78.325986, "energy": 81.551448, "activity_lines": [ 8.197425, 8.503581, 9.041753, 9.342988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.21, "volume": 30600131, "typical_volume": 34031845.05, "trend": 9.506571, "fair_value": 8.254663, "relative_strength": -26.651691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.25025, "energy": 89.880691, "activity_lines": [ 7.816222, 8.223452, 8.831196, 9.190306 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.93, "volume": 60478426, "typical_volume": 34341541.85, "trend": 9.467237, "fair_value": 8.248607, "relative_strength": -17.26816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.115126, "energy": 77.539657, "activity_lines": [ 7.78001, 8.119868, 8.705162, 9.088592 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.0, "volume": 46138739, "typical_volume": 33343719.1, "trend": 9.435904, "fair_value": 8.246633, "relative_strength": -19.941051, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.808054, "energy": 64.70962, "activity_lines": [ 7.802455, 8.047557, 8.596366, 8.993931 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }