{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d591528-53f5-4001-8a41-313499b3003e", "symbol": "SURYALAXMI", "name": "Suryalakshmi Cotton Mills Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 70.434, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.116, "architecture_energy": 19.382, "architecture_maturity": 27.846, "architecture_confidence": 89.093, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.77, "rotation_up": 35.08, "upward_expansion": 61.05, "deceleration": 85.77, "rotation_down": 27.49, "downward_expansion": 15.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.29, 59.137091, 58.943809, 58.033613 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 60.220001, "trend_reference": 57.194333, "distance_from_trend": 0.052902, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 69.29141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.130917, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.725946, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": 0.043709, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052902, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000239, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.130917, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015849, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027259, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005834, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.734296, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43296, "relative_activity": 1.735443, "balance": 1.734296, "dry_up": 1.012692, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082556, "annualized_volatility": 0.359842, "from_high_reference": -0.149435, "from_low_reference": 0.400465 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.194333, "fair_value_reference": 69.29141, "structural_low": 43.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.015349, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.009051, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.18689, "worst_return": -0.168789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.02257, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.038228, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.176966, "worst_return": -0.352269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.01678, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.093632, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.27254, "worst_return": -0.203287, "sufficient": false }, { 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"balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.965845, "energy": 14.4049, "activity_lines": [ 58.552667, 58.728, 58.257523, 57.546086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 57.509998, "volume": 15377, "typical_volume": 26035.75, "trend": 56.975666, "fair_value": 69.26891, "relative_strength": 0.927805, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.920213, "energy": 14.458242, "activity_lines": [ 57.996666, 58.465636, 58.322523, 57.580129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.84, "volume": 23296, "typical_volume": 26223.2, "trend": 57.055333, "fair_value": 69.282949, "relative_strength": 4.329529, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.179024, "energy": 15.81126, "activity_lines": [ 58.691333, 58.882, 58.684381, 57.82944 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.220001, "volume": 43296, "typical_volume": 24948.1, "trend": 57.194333, "fair_value": 69.29141, "relative_strength": 2.725946, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.11618, "energy": 19.382464, "activity_lines": [ 59.29, 59.137091, 58.943809, 58.033613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }