{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d6213cd-7bf1-4438-8231-bc1446f7652e", "symbol": "HURN", "name": "Huron Consulting Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.333, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 41.831, "architecture_energy": 46.418, "architecture_maturity": 26.471, "architecture_confidence": 79.19, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.54, "rotation_up": 68.05, "upward_expansion": 41.21, "deceleration": 41.76, "rotation_down": 16.69, "downward_expansion": 20.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 135.978667, 121.905091, 116.761667, 119.685968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 152.05, "trend_reference": 127.836, "distance_from_trend": 0.189415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 122.646058, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.239746, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.157965, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.103849, "excess_performance": -0.291302, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.189415, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131472, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.239746, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244024, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.06158, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258064, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.103849, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.578971, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1536862, "relative_activity": 1.068418, "balance": 1.578971, "dry_up": 1.39411, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105403, "annualized_volatility": 0.788179, "from_high_reference": -0.185941, "from_low_reference": 0.791458 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 127.836, "fair_value_reference": 122.646058, "structural_low": 84.875, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.076116, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.111078, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.106229, "worst_return": 0.017786, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.137906, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.120123, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.198292, "worst_return": 0.089408, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.270874, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.222551, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.336799, "worst_return": -0.13285, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 51.884576, "activity_lines": [ 100.308333, 102.547636, 110.459714, 119.234935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 114.8, "volume": 1393399, "typical_volume": 1312238.0, "trend": 131.733667, "fair_value": 121.845545, "relative_strength": -26.920601, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.387294, "energy": 33.845963, "activity_lines": [ 105.126667, 104.329, 110.184452, 118.000871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 112.3, "volume": 1259434, "typical_volume": 1291186.6, "trend": 129.455, "fair_value": 121.965096, "relative_strength": -26.90161, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.432052, "energy": 23.084848, "activity_lines": [ 108.753333, 105.749818, 109.797762, 116.747086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 151.77, "volume": 3831716, "typical_volume": 1412329.65, "trend": 128.812333, "fair_value": 122.300353, "relative_strength": -1.745971, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 17.565876, "energy": 26.296924, "activity_lines": [ 124.087333, 114.223, 113.325024, 118.186763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 152.05, "volume": 1536862, "typical_volume": 1438446.45, "trend": 127.836, "fair_value": 122.646058, "relative_strength": -6.157965, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.830507, "energy": 46.418082, "activity_lines": [ 135.978667, 121.905091, 116.761667, 119.685968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }