{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d66b526-0439-4b4e-b213-41954811470e", "symbol": "ALC", "name": "Altia Consultores, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 92.496, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.572, "architecture_energy": 22.487, "architecture_maturity": 66.823, "architecture_confidence": 66.703, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.89, "rotation_up": 34.55, "upward_expansion": 21.25, "deceleration": 44.03, "rotation_down": 22.37, "downward_expansion": 55.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.8, 6.718182, 6.815476, 6.886452 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 6.9, "trend_reference": 6.966667, "distance_from_trend": -0.009569, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.012421, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37658, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.045189, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.014286, "excess_performance": -0.138717, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009569, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005109, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.37658, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13424, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.130452, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083257, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.014286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.306476, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3289, "relative_activity": 0.56514, "balance": 1.306476, "dry_up": 1.176028, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034002, "annualized_volatility": 0.208129, "from_high_reference": -0.08, "from_low_reference": 0.218651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.966667, "fair_value_reference": 5.012421, "structural_low": 6.15, "invalidation": "A 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.965747, "energy": 83.235256, "activity_lines": [ 6.66, 6.824545, 6.955238, 6.996022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 6.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4981.75, "trend": 7.015, "fair_value": 4.880662, "relative_strength": -18.660301, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.138426, "energy": 82.911918, "activity_lines": [ 6.566667, 6.748182, 6.905714, 6.962473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6.6, "volume": 3478, "typical_volume": 4867.6, "trend": 7.003333, "fair_value": 4.905988, "relative_strength": -14.955793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.788699, "energy": 78.948589, "activity_lines": [ 6.543333, 6.700909, 6.868571, 6.935699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.8, "volume": 18641, "typical_volume": 5653.75, "trend": 6.998333, "fair_value": 4.932596, "relative_strength": -11.214859, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.115143, "energy": 71.690052, "activity_lines": [ 6.613333, 6.697273, 6.853095, 6.922581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.7, "volume": 1100, "typical_volume": 5599.85, "trend": 6.986667, "fair_value": 4.958563, "relative_strength": -13.731733, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.024776, "energy": 41.474194, "activity_lines": [ 6.646667, 6.68, 6.829762, 6.903333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.8, "volume": 4347, "typical_volume": 5777.0, "trend": 6.975, "fair_value": 4.985172, "relative_strength": -12.943717, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.213078, "energy": 23.987656, "activity_lines": [ 6.726667, 6.687273, 6.817381, 6.89129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.9, "volume": 3289, "typical_volume": 5819.8, "trend": 6.966667, "fair_value": 5.012421, "relative_strength": -13.045189, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.572161, "energy": 22.486967, "activity_lines": [ 6.8, 6.718182, 6.815476, 6.886452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }