{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d75dc98-474c-45d3-be7b-43209ee81928", "symbol": "CIIT", "name": "Tianci International, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.695, "architecture_energy": 51.213, "architecture_maturity": 65.117, "architecture_confidence": 86.696, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.18, "rotation_up": 20.6, "upward_expansion": 7.66, "deceleration": 50.11, "rotation_down": 60.99, "downward_expansion": 83.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.612067, 4.8928, 8.156019, 11.747157 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.63, "trend_reference": 17.612567, "distance_from_trend": -0.793897, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 110.964199, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.967287, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -89.205638, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.913499, "excess_performance": -1.100953, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.793897, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.313103, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.967287, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088918, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.892056, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099437, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.913499, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.922426, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 346108, "relative_activity": 0.014063, "balance": 2.922426, "dry_up": 0.0611, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.596658, "annualized_volatility": 1.985643, "from_high_reference": -0.95818, "from_low_reference": 0.394491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.612567, "fair_value_reference": 110.964199, "structural_low": 2.6031, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.002765, "positive_rate": 0.516129, "directional_follow_through": 0.451613, "median_excess_return": -0.034099, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 2.233766, "worst_return": -0.727443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.071081, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.116028, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.823529, "worst_return": -0.830632, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.084238, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.041708, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.144654, "worst_return": -0.718524, "sufficient": true }, { 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{ "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-01-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.273846, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.014265, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010661, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 2.909091, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.004975, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.3125, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.782734, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.462269, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.788953, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-06-23", "close": 51.457, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 2216.55, "trend": 97.3077, "fair_value": 83.524404, "relative_strength": -58.533944, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early 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"relative_strength": -92.082376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.443235, "energy": 74.223599, "activity_lines": [ 4.761467, 7.578218, 10.644295, 14.732159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.66, "volume": 695034, "typical_volume": 30840294.9, "trend": 19.037433, "fair_value": 111.577622, "relative_strength": -89.532915, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.894688, "energy": 70.385267, "activity_lines": [ 4.2284, 6.518291, 9.726029, 13.693353 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.59, "volume": 725732, "typical_volume": 27864631.1, "trend": 18.3486, "fair_value": 111.270782, "relative_strength": -89.272621, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.842674, "energy": 63.055561, "activity_lines": [ 3.793867, 5.613636, 8.897667, 12.696744 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.63, "volume": 346108, "typical_volume": 24611873.9, "trend": 17.612567, "fair_value": 110.964199, "relative_strength": -89.205638, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.695074, "energy": 51.21311, "activity_lines": [ 3.612067, 4.8928, 8.156019, 11.747157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }