{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8d771726-ad14-4569-95bc-3b56dd0dec75",
    "symbol": "2707",
    "name": "Formosa International Hotels Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 61.247,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.526,
    "architecture_energy": 15.959,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.533,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.552,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.74,
        "rotation_up": 32.05,
        "upward_expansion": 60.12,
        "deceleration": 81.21,
        "rotation_down": 22.07,
        "downward_expansion": 12.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        178.4,
        178.754545,
        177.762056,
        177.227895
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 177.5,
    "trend_reference": 176.937166,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003181,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 180.33214,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.015705,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -29.922327,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.007619,
    "excess_performance": -0.448991,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003181,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001256,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015705,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051026,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.299223,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063675,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007619,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.757175,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 677427,
      "relative_activity": 0.65275,
      "balance": 0.757175,
      "dry_up": 0.955711,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024052,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.112162,
      "from_high_reference": -0.080409,
      "from_low_reference": 0.062874
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 176.937166,
      "fair_value_reference": 180.33214,
      "structural_low": 167.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.004773,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017159,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.071188,
        "worst_return": -0.054825,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.020998,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.108713,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.073033,
        "worst_return": -0.182342,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.042811,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.135932,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.040435,
        "worst_return": -0.15739,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.011478,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022719,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.24913,
        "worst_return": -0.152826,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026253,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.048662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005482,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.004002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002786,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00838,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 174.0,
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        "typical_volume": 710063.75,
        "trend": 179.038316,
        "fair_value": 185.459474,
        "relative_strength": -34.631622,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 22.456986,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 759883.9,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 788214.75,
        "trend": 177.957937,
        "fair_value": 184.715457,
        "relative_strength": -38.364737,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 172.0,
        "volume": 1357928,
        "typical_volume": 831152.85,
        "trend": 177.603332,
        "fair_value": 184.298431,
        "relative_strength": -36.28985,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 854605.3,
        "trend": 177.39405,
        "fair_value": 183.940982,
        "relative_strength": -36.395625,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 59.010895,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 173.0,
        "volume": 1004127,
        "typical_volume": 888675.95,
        "trend": 177.119972,
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        "relative_strength": -39.391924,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.326281,
        "energy": 37.536516,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 936897.6,
        "trend": 177.159754,
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        "relative_strength": -36.178851,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 8.561477,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 985350,
        "typical_volume": 962521.0,
        "trend": 177.133805,
        "fair_value": 182.892999,
        "relative_strength": -34.541567,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.762382,
        "energy": 16.616375,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 179.0,
        "volume": 653627,
        "typical_volume": 968358.45,
        "trend": 177.091189,
        "fair_value": 182.44032,
        "relative_strength": -37.083697,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.648195,
        "energy": 22.639596,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 177.047638,
        "fair_value": 182.007814,
        "relative_strength": -33.725626,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.738014,
        "energy": 24.246544,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 986138.65,
        "trend": 177.038356,
        "fair_value": 181.636128,
        "relative_strength": -35.470583,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.803249,
        "energy": 34.373281,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 177.060536,
        "fair_value": 181.400938,
        "relative_strength": -32.556705,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.703794,
        "energy": 31.999452,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 178.5,
        "volume": 673354,
        "typical_volume": 977950.8,
        "trend": 177.032716,
        "fair_value": 181.15078,
        "relative_strength": -28.01341,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.662248,
        "energy": 23.80722,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.233333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 179.0,
        "volume": 776797,
        "typical_volume": 961190.65,
        "trend": 177.037294,
        "fair_value": 180.93862,
        "relative_strength": -28.556191,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.893895,
        "energy": 20.333367,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.166667,
          178.972727,
          177.278627,
          176.974708
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 178.0,
        "volume": 1623629,
        "typical_volume": 999295.95,
        "trend": 177.008538,
        "fair_value": 180.717373,
        "relative_strength": -27.188489,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.884675,
        "energy": 21.029568,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.766667,
          178.927273,
          177.428021,
          177.036818
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 179.5,
        "volume": 889508,
        "typical_volume": 1021864.35,
        "trend": 177.029782,
        "fair_value": 180.519123,
        "relative_strength": -27.517891,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.700603,
        "energy": 20.655297,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.9,
          179.081818,
          177.701907,
          177.197558
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 177.5,
        "volume": 677427,
        "typical_volume": 1037803.9,
        "trend": 176.937166,
        "fair_value": 180.33214,
        "relative_strength": -29.922327,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.526135,
        "energy": 15.959197,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.4,
          178.754545,
          177.762056,
          177.227895
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}