{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d8142b5-1450-4478-a353-d8ce4660260e", "symbol": "TMV", "name": "TeamViewer SE", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.442, "architecture_energy": 78.408, "architecture_maturity": 23.607, "architecture_confidence": 70.628, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.5, "rotation_up": 78.93, "upward_expansion": 92.11, "deceleration": 41.97, "rotation_down": 9.34, "downward_expansion": 16.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.027667, 5.715091, 5.539548, 5.359342 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.535, "trend_reference": 5.248633, "distance_from_trend": 0.245086, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.296635, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.365327, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.64041, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.145486, "excess_performance": 0.080847, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.245086, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011675, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.365327, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137745, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006404, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.229681, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.145486, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.073144, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2832953, "relative_activity": 0.768675, "balance": 3.073144, "dry_up": 1.031996, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081973, "annualized_volatility": 0.523844, "from_high_reference": -0.367377, "from_low_reference": 0.599364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.248633, "fair_value_reference": 10.296635, "structural_low": 4.086, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.005233, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009849, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.162183, "worst_return": -0.22973, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.060364, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.108941, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.299709, "worst_return": -0.337838, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.102589, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.248618, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.221254, "worst_return": -0.471467, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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4318453.35, "trend": 5.236967, "fair_value": 10.496474, "relative_strength": -10.418245, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.12865, "energy": 11.966752, "activity_lines": [ 5.390333, 5.413, 5.279133, 5.201938 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.61, "volume": 1747509, "typical_volume": 4091743.75, "trend": 5.2278, "fair_value": 10.433397, "relative_strength": -12.40654, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.108862, "energy": 31.758069, "activity_lines": [ 5.508, 5.438, 5.32931, 5.226004 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.99, "volume": 7365995, "typical_volume": 4176478.25, "trend": 5.230467, "fair_value": 10.364423, "relative_strength": -7.411915, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.04151, "energy": 58.436541, "activity_lines": [ 5.716667, 5.529545, 5.411667, 5.275178 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.535, "volume": 2832953, "typical_volume": 3685503.85, "trend": 5.248633, "fair_value": 10.296635, "relative_strength": -0.64041, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.441562, "energy": 78.40827, "activity_lines": [ 6.027667, 5.715091, 5.539548, 5.359342 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }