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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.159, "architecture_energy": 86.222, "architecture_maturity": 23.362, "architecture_confidence": 94.901, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.44, "rotation_up": 58.76, "upward_expansion": 93.0, "deceleration": 47.5, "rotation_down": 23.61, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 3438.149902, 3403.660822, 3293.361373, 3132.37953 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3438.149902, "trend_reference": 2946.935311, "distance_from_trend": 0.166687, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2593.025998, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325922, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.291617, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.677146, "excess_performance": 0.731813, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.166687, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01943, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.325922, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.28089, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.102916, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.25574, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.677146, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.168831, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 2.168831, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027619, "annualized_volatility": 1.219296, "from_high_reference": -0.728464, "from_low_reference": 0.677146 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2946.935311, "fair_value_reference": 2593.025998, "structural_low": 2050.0, 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"balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.027767, "energy": 2.099022, "activity_lines": [ 2996.733333, 3066.982364, 2926.972048, 2875.966087 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 3170.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 702.25, "trend": 2884.367, "fair_value": 2612.739336, "relative_strength": -0.767032, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.728489, "energy": 19.074927, "activity_lines": [ 3083.8, 3039.509455, 2967.776762, 2894.394022 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 3438.149902, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 688.5, "trend": 2893.30533, "fair_value": 2610.114834, "relative_strength": 8.76324, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.805512, "energy": 25.1516, "activity_lines": [ 3218.849967, 3085.881982, 3034.119563, 2930.121951 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3438.149902, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 688.5, "trend": 2902.24366, "fair_value": 2607.522279, "relative_strength": 9.183805, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.372579, "energy": 30.557363, "activity_lines": [ 3311.689941, 3152.469966, 3093.852125, 2965.273214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3438.149902, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 688.5, "trend": 2911.181991, "fair_value": 2604.929725, "relative_strength": 10.30516, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.880205, "energy": 40.575277, "activity_lines": [ 3378.119922, 3222.928134, 3146.97445, 2999.84781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3438.149902, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 688.5, "trend": 2920.120321, "fair_value": 2601.953793, "relative_strength": 10.290748, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.519753, "energy": 41.849365, "activity_lines": [ 3420.273242, 3288.510849, 3193.486537, 3033.84574 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3438.149902, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 688.5, "trend": 2929.058651, "fair_value": 2598.977861, "relative_strength": 10.86759, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.027541, "energy": 86.234805, "activity_lines": [ 3438.149902, 3341.50902, 3233.388387, 3067.267003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3438.149902, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 688.5, "trend": 2937.996981, "fair_value": 2596.00193, "relative_strength": 10.14758, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.151326, "energy": 86.226709, "activity_lines": [ 3438.149902, 3378.340829, 3266.679999, 3100.1116 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3438.149902, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 688.5, "trend": 2946.935311, "fair_value": 2593.025998, "relative_strength": 10.291617, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.159088, "energy": 86.222432, "activity_lines": [ 3438.149902, 3403.660822, 3293.361373, 3132.37953 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }