{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d86c98b-8903-4ada-96fb-9ce398949475", "symbol": "OMK", "name": "Vividthree Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.706, "architecture_energy": 83.766, "architecture_maturity": 17.905, "architecture_confidence": 71.222, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.8, "rotation_up": 8.68, "upward_expansion": 27.85, "deceleration": 40.22, "rotation_down": 82.94, "downward_expansion": 89.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.009467, 0.010418, 0.011105, 0.01103 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.009, "trend_reference": 0.011233, "distance_from_trend": -0.198813, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.021513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.581645, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.564776, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.25, "excess_performance": -0.404835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.198813, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18599, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.581645, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17951, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.495648, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.276933, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.325238, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.325238, "dry_up": 1.943406, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102564, "annualized_volatility": 0.770935, "from_high_reference": -0.64, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.011233, "fair_value_reference": 0.021513, "structural_low": 0.009, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.425, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.005757, "regime_survival": 0.825, "best_return": 0.555556, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.036117, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 1.1, "worst_return": -0.227273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.015152, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.116577, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.3, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.175362, 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"end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.086957, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.08, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.181818, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.277778, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"fair_value": 0.021987, "relative_strength": -44.311758, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.755657, "energy": 33.20672, "activity_lines": [ 0.011267, 0.011855, 0.011605, 0.011499 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.01, "volume": 1010100, "typical_volume": 176715.0, "trend": 0.011767, "fair_value": 0.02184, "relative_strength": -44.376017, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.812746, "energy": 39.744067, "activity_lines": [ 0.010733, 0.011436, 0.0115, 0.011363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.009, "volume": 1100, "typical_volume": 176520.0, "trend": 0.0114, "fair_value": 0.021679, "relative_strength": -49.617097, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.019267, "energy": 52.124731, "activity_lines": [ 0.01, 0.010891, 0.0113, 0.011185 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.009, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 176520.0, "trend": 0.011233, "fair_value": 0.021513, "relative_strength": -49.564776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.706458, "energy": 83.766253, "activity_lines": [ 0.009467, 0.010418, 0.011105, 0.01103 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }