{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8d8f7318-a959-4ba6-9281-6c90ed881ff8", "symbol": "LODI", "name": "AAM SLC LOW DURATION INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.481, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.054, "architecture_energy": 30.217, "architecture_maturity": 14.699, "architecture_confidence": 60.095, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.23, "rotation_up": 47.29, "upward_expansion": 73.5, "deceleration": 59.02, "rotation_down": 19.23, "downward_expansion": 2.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.114422, 25.102927, 25.083171, 25.06132 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.1582, "trend_reference": 25.02632, "distance_from_trend": 0.00527, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.341493, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.033552, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.754649, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.006864, "excess_performance": -0.118761, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00527, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.033552, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000625, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.097546, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00344, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006864, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.830612, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72401, "relative_activity": 1.043026, "balance": 0.830612, "dry_up": 0.75166, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005246, "annualized_volatility": 0.01461, "from_high_reference": -0.033871, "from_low_reference": 0.040452 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.02632, "fair_value_reference": 24.341493, "structural_low": 24.793661, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.000198, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.013833, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.000198, "worst_return": -0.000198, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.075109, "volume": 34120, "typical_volume": 67834.05, "trend": 25.002122, "fair_value": 24.323176, "relative_strength": -6.453879, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.097964, "energy": 18.107111, "activity_lines": [ 25.085329, 25.086561, 25.067273, 25.045696 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.1, "volume": 59548, "typical_volume": 67637.2, "trend": 25.013904, "fair_value": 24.332105, "relative_strength": -7.093346, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.375149, "energy": 23.022776, "activity_lines": [ 25.09084, 25.090239, 25.072827, 25.05201 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.1582, "volume": 72401, "typical_volume": 69414.4, "trend": 25.02632, "fair_value": 24.341493, "relative_strength": -9.754649, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.053611, "energy": 30.216896, "activity_lines": [ 25.114422, 25.102927, 25.083171, 25.06132 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }