{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8d939683-008c-40cd-9293-cbd971e9d9bd",
    "symbol": "EPR",
    "name": "Europris ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 71.383,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -32.988,
    "architecture_energy": 42.451,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.046,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.343,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.11,
        "rotation_up": 20.7,
        "upward_expansion": 14.85,
        "deceleration": 50.0,
        "rotation_down": 59.93,
        "downward_expansion": 54.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        84.819999,
        85.663635,
        88.044869,
        88.244918
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 86.900002,
    "trend_reference": 88.051605,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.013079,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 74.353286,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.168745,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.715975,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.036253,
    "excess_performance": -0.088741,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013079,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000959,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168745,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.121478,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13716,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046844,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036253,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.795237,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 599017,
      "relative_activity": 0.836371,
      "balance": 0.795237,
      "dry_up": 1.047714,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03886,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.219102,
      "from_high_reference": -0.136126,
      "from_low_reference": 0.087379
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 88.051605,
      "fair_value_reference": 74.353286,
      "structural_low": 80.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.033368,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004404,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.040092,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.007264,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.078437,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.013746,
        "worst_return": -0.049333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.155654,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.115945,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.291364,
        "worst_return": 0.12678,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.29832,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.184583,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.456699,
        "worst_return": 0.139942,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.049929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.003376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.137038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.236318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077982,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019027,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.103753,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044471,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 1145992.35,
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        "volume": 1043526,
        "typical_volume": 1102611.75,
        "trend": 88.315714,
        "fair_value": 71.398484,
        "relative_strength": -12.459086,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.978422,
        "energy": 21.111609,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1127395.85,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 1133379.1,
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        "fair_value": 71.757178,
        "relative_strength": -9.654862,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "energy": 62.686906,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 92.800003,
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        "trend": 88.151076,
        "fair_value": 71.925585,
        "relative_strength": -9.031547,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 62.189563,
        "energy": 68.255095,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 90.599998,
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        "typical_volume": 1131080.55,
        "trend": 87.984658,
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        "relative_strength": -13.137005,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.338891,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1137291.85,
        "trend": 87.847971,
        "fair_value": 72.286131,
        "relative_strength": -11.090356,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 63.424912,
        "energy": 49.461457,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 92.599998,
        "volume": 827524,
        "typical_volume": 1122820.05,
        "trend": 88.136103,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 93.300003,
        "volume": 184652,
        "typical_volume": 1059758.9,
        "trend": 88.569384,
        "fair_value": 72.675652,
        "relative_strength": -9.648495,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 91.099998,
        "volume": 139611,
        "typical_volume": 974037.25,
        "trend": 88.829956,
        "fair_value": 72.855327,
        "relative_strength": -11.272263,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 41.678687,
        "energy": 28.056512,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 109184,
        "typical_volume": 864846.6,
        "trend": 88.96206,
        "fair_value": 73.021342,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 783015.4,
        "trend": 89.017994,
        "fair_value": 73.19008,
        "relative_strength": -8.671133,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 21.681405,
        "energy": 16.289006,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 89.0,
        "volume": 142686,
        "typical_volume": 733781.25,
        "trend": 89.051489,
        "fair_value": 73.38407,
        "relative_strength": -10.488433,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.137624,
        "energy": 19.337393,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 81.199997,
        "volume": 1637869,
        "typical_volume": 772676.1,
        "trend": 88.773694,
        "fair_value": 73.556677,
        "relative_strength": -17.395776,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -44.718609,
        "energy": 49.574278,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.459999,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 83.199997,
        "volume": 972881,
        "typical_volume": 770289.2,
        "trend": 88.533714,
        "fair_value": 73.742386,
        "relative_strength": -15.956324,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.331404,
        "energy": 58.091376,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.946665,
          87.507272,
          89.219411,
          88.881853
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 82.599998,
        "volume": 716747,
        "typical_volume": 764417.9,
        "trend": 88.283352,
        "fair_value": 73.932665,
        "relative_strength": -18.161755,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.367038,
        "energy": 66.670745,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.759998,
          86.303635,
          88.58377,
          88.499033
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 85.599998,
        "volume": 712889,
        "typical_volume": 740715.85,
        "trend": 88.155428,
        "fair_value": 74.141334,
        "relative_strength": -15.141038,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.031817,
        "energy": 65.433458,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.959998,
          85.790908,
          88.248544,
          88.325913
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 86.900002,
        "volume": 599017,
        "typical_volume": 716210.05,
        "trend": 88.051605,
        "fair_value": 74.353286,
        "relative_strength": -13.715975,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.98817,
        "energy": 42.450576,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.819999,
          85.663635,
          88.044869,
          88.244918
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}