{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8d94552f-afc7-4fc3-a6b5-ba7887cb3bbd",
    "symbol": "XUFN",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Financials UCITS ETF 1D",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 80.933,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.467,
    "architecture_energy": 93.671,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.711,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.719,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.65,
        "rotation_up": 86.82,
        "upward_expansion": 99.87,
        "deceleration": 39.04,
        "rotation_down": 8.95,
        "downward_expansion": 21.87
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      "activity_lines": [
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        39.444971
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 42.59,
    "trend_reference": 38.845605,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096392,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.858478,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.257883,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.482158,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069847,
    "excess_performance": 0.018612,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096392,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009669,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.257883,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092238,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004822,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079178,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069847,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.804126,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 129308,
      "relative_activity": 2.235103,
      "balance": 2.804126,
      "dry_up": 1.12918,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018592,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.142762,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015715,
      "from_low_reference": 0.205832
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 33.858478,
      "structural_low": 35.32,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.0101,
        "positive_rate": 0.566667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.566667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002248,
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        "worst_return": -0.143464,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.079566,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 38.014999,
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        "typical_volume": 119151.2,
        "trend": 38.572712,
        "fair_value": 32.256588,
        "relative_strength": -8.731604,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 123773.35,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 37.845001,
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        "typical_volume": 118840.45,
        "trend": 38.521284,
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        "relative_strength": -7.435689,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 119652.4,
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        "fair_value": 32.565583,
        "relative_strength": -7.239163,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 120595.3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 95914.15,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 4173,
        "typical_volume": 76215.5,
        "trend": 38.481828,
        "fair_value": 32.868717,
        "relative_strength": -6.040958,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 7.205572,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 15476,
        "typical_volume": 75252.25,
        "trend": 38.508116,
        "fair_value": 32.972456,
        "relative_strength": -4.676361,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 41.206961,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 73158.95,
        "trend": 38.56839,
        "fair_value": 33.080111,
        "relative_strength": -3.303368,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.156372,
        "energy": 53.056977,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 69841.95,
        "trend": 38.586132,
        "fair_value": 33.185173,
        "relative_strength": -3.69943,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.385723,
        "energy": 63.65074,
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          38.249714,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 40.880001,
        "volume": 2540,
        "typical_volume": 67913.35,
        "trend": 38.63176,
        "fair_value": 33.297705,
        "relative_strength": -2.332621,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 61.926592,
        "energy": 79.496579,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 41.145,
        "volume": 80050,
        "typical_volume": 70552.25,
        "trend": 38.662359,
        "fair_value": 33.408286,
        "relative_strength": 0.177343,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 59.243908,
        "energy": 83.858002,
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          40.462,
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          38.58768
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 41.869999,
        "volume": 39582,
        "typical_volume": 67790.7,
        "trend": 38.715468,
        "fair_value": 33.518709,
        "relative_strength": 1.119256,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.852819,
        "energy": 96.09787,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.039667,
          40.199909,
          39.195857,
          38.794625
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.695,
        "volume": 79760,
        "typical_volume": 68001.55,
        "trend": 38.743853,
        "fair_value": 33.628442,
        "relative_strength": -0.382079,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.643642,
        "energy": 92.505987,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.394667,
          40.596636,
          39.515524,
          38.986853
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 42.055,
        "volume": 12657,
        "typical_volume": 65031.25,
        "trend": 38.800312,
        "fair_value": 33.74079,
        "relative_strength": -0.609944,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.202666,
        "energy": 92.526717,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.722333,
          40.985727,
          39.846286,
          39.200475
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.59,
        "volume": 129308,
        "typical_volume": 57853.25,
        "trend": 38.845605,
        "fair_value": 33.858478,
        "relative_strength": 0.482158,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.466828,
        "energy": 93.670844,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.076,
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          40.198881,
          39.444971
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}