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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 88.374, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.654, "architecture_energy": 26.663, "architecture_maturity": 30.079, "architecture_confidence": 60.461, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.32, "rotation_up": 44.62, "upward_expansion": 73.02, "deceleration": 62.03, "rotation_down": 25.57, "downward_expansion": 6.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.694688, 77.626366, 76.909079, 76.039958 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 75.839996, "trend_reference": 74.046704, "distance_from_trend": 0.024218, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 68.700808, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103917, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.224055, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.118133, "excess_performance": -0.056114, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024218, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084606, "read": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 80.813282, "volume": 366, "typical_volume": 200.35, "trend": 72.332108, "fair_value": 68.195314, "relative_strength": 1.239849, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.745104, "energy": 41.553333, "activity_lines": [ 77.962912, 77.430913, 76.462027, 75.118618 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 81.564109, "volume": 256, "typical_volume": 141.75, "trend": 73.047519, "fair_value": 68.388718, "relative_strength": 0.990414, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.87051, "energy": 53.103594, "activity_lines": [ 79.422195, 78.197636, 77.007574, 75.714231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.794558, "volume": 612, "typical_volume": 117.95, "trend": 73.538268, "fair_value": 68.544508, "relative_strength": -5.762716, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.309129, "energy": 33.407583, "activity_lines": [ 78.459354, 77.861821, 76.962314, 75.891459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.839996, "volume": 384, "typical_volume": 133.8, "trend": 74.046704, "fair_value": 68.700808, "relative_strength": -8.224055, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.653505, "energy": 26.663434, "activity_lines": [ 77.694688, 77.626366, 76.909079, 76.039958 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }