{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8da2adba-5b6a-4780-9c77-b8aa5fff4362",
    "symbol": "4506",
    "name": "GFC. LTD.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.535,
    "architecture_energy": 82.067,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.311,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.264,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.07,
        "rotation_up": 82.51,
        "upward_expansion": 96.61,
        "deceleration": 39.65,
        "rotation_down": 8.99,
        "downward_expansion": 18.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        122.055147,
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        115.979011
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 123.0,
    "trend_reference": 114.006413,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.078887,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 98.072591,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254173,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -25.039382,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.14684,
    "excess_performance": -0.294532,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078887,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006944,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254173,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047063,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.250394,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075491,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14684,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.992478,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 305458,
      "relative_activity": 0.825732,
      "balance": 1.992478,
      "dry_up": 1.341633,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027574,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.109089,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030595,
      "from_low_reference": 0.167692
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 114.006413,
      "fair_value_reference": 98.072591,
      "structural_low": 106.772401,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.008333,
        "positive_rate": 0.657143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.657143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026788,
        "regime_survival": 0.771429,
        "best_return": 0.162928,
        "worst_return": -0.124493,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.050803,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.085754,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.079681,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.11898,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.002516,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 324613.85,
        "trend": 114.5928,
        "fair_value": 93.363546,
        "relative_strength": -30.964262,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 13.801446,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 325882.1,
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        "fair_value": 93.687508,
        "relative_strength": -33.9476,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 8.952804,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 387156,
        "typical_volume": 329944.1,
        "trend": 113.93844,
        "fair_value": 94.006026,
        "relative_strength": -32.588508,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 10.861225,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 335450.85,
        "trend": 113.73096,
        "fair_value": 94.325979,
        "relative_strength": -33.466648,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.243211,
        "energy": 9.177998,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 357210.0,
        "trend": 113.42772,
        "fair_value": 94.634003,
        "relative_strength": -37.251744,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.845268,
        "energy": 10.413433,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 112.517998,
        "volume": 491363,
        "typical_volume": 360354.65,
        "trend": 113.22024,
        "fair_value": 94.932226,
        "relative_strength": -36.986132,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 352057.2,
        "trend": 113.04468,
        "fair_value": 95.235697,
        "relative_strength": -34.723271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 113.475601,
        "volume": 261917,
        "typical_volume": 342734.7,
        "trend": 112.86912,
        "fair_value": 95.531347,
        "relative_strength": -36.985782,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 345534.1,
        "trend": 112.90104,
        "fair_value": 96.152945,
        "relative_strength": -33.389102,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.164065,
        "energy": 59.315761,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 117.784798,
        "volume": 252434,
        "typical_volume": 340927.95,
        "trend": 112.917,
        "fair_value": 96.469685,
        "relative_strength": -30.868463,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 70.41327,
        "energy": 70.498779,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 116.827202,
        "volume": 421401,
        "typical_volume": 344696.65,
        "trend": 112.93296,
        "fair_value": 96.774297,
        "relative_strength": -26.399008,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.521044,
        "energy": 71.048532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 120.0,
        "volume": 754879,
        "typical_volume": 357546.8,
        "trend": 113.11852,
        "fair_value": 97.085637,
        "relative_strength": -25.435092,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.240665,
        "energy": 80.55876,
        "activity_lines": [
          118.10824,
          116.437767,
          115.107012,
          114.150859
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 123.0,
        "volume": 513234,
        "typical_volume": 359676.3,
        "trend": 113.38812,
        "fair_value": 97.406987,
        "relative_strength": -21.914643,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.516964,
        "energy": 85.211322,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.95432,
          117.84192,
          115.930589,
          114.788374
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 122.5,
        "volume": 411638,
        "typical_volume": 368740.45,
        "trend": 113.657013,
        "fair_value": 97.735916,
        "relative_strength": -23.449055,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.695521,
        "energy": 82.452764,
        "activity_lines": [
          121.062613,
          118.990698,
          116.663473,
          115.376237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 123.0,
        "volume": 305458,
        "typical_volume": 369923.95,
        "trend": 114.006413,
        "fair_value": 98.072591,
        "relative_strength": -25.039382,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.535206,
        "energy": 82.066687,
        "activity_lines": [
          122.055147,
          120.048895,
          117.394162,
          115.979011
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}