{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8da67f75-4d7b-40de-befd-fdd1fb6d01dc",
    "symbol": "BIOSGN",
    "name": "Biosergen AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -83.466,
    "architecture_energy": 74.142,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.776,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 29.96,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 61.0,
        "rotation_down": 63.35,
        "downward_expansion": 87.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.665238,
        4.889351,
        6.980408,
        12.285069
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.78,
    "trend_reference": 20.372905,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.863544,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 44.896806,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.93808,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -92.369498,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.938767,
    "excess_performance": -1.000261,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.863544,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.389057,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.93808,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13314,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.923695,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123234,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.938767,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.773161,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 669444,
      "relative_activity": 13.01109,
      "balance": 5.773161,
      "dry_up": 3.771749,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.48965,
      "annualized_volatility": 4.245657,
      "from_high_reference": -0.949638,
      "from_low_reference": 3.532611
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.372905,
      "fair_value_reference": 44.896806,
      "structural_low": 0.613333,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.057143,
        "positive_rate": 0.36,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.64,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034993,
        "regime_survival": 0.84,
        "best_return": 1.37013,
        "worst_return": -0.718571,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.74359,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": -0.028571,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.839744,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.161905,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 11885.7,
        "trend": 38.415,
        "fair_value": 49.853661,
        "relative_strength": -79.887136,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 12367.45,
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        "relative_strength": -79.215253,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 89.501039,
        "activity_lines": [
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          29.539462
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -79.653373,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 89.365265,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 8969,
        "typical_volume": 12714.45,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -82.375105,
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        "energy": 71.570284,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -81.854212,
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        "direction": -72.333759,
        "energy": 69.216509,
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          20.112581
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 5.0,
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        "relative_strength": -87.922904,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 73.635785,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 46.240824,
        "relative_strength": -84.169418,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.170743,
        "energy": 91.309082,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.43,
          7.355455,
          11.028333,
          17.297957
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.05,
        "volume": 10682,
        "typical_volume": 13567.3,
        "trend": 24.088333,
        "fair_value": 45.904396,
        "relative_strength": -84.075721,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.995137,
        "energy": 90.897071,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.186667,
          6.985455,
          9.974048,
          16.054301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.7,
        "volume": 20260,
        "typical_volume": 14285.65,
        "trend": 22.891667,
        "fair_value": 45.568344,
        "relative_strength": -82.138391,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.664563,
        "energy": 89.028216,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.263333,
          6.799091,
          9.135714,
          14.932473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.657142,
        "volume": 75867,
        "typical_volume": 18026.15,
        "trend": 21.580238,
        "fair_value": 45.220086,
        "relative_strength": -98.216971,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -98.281236,
        "energy": 99.361162,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.382381,
          5.56948,
          7.870918,
          13.497988
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.78,
        "volume": 669444,
        "typical_volume": 51451.8,
        "trend": 20.372905,
        "fair_value": 44.896806,
        "relative_strength": -92.369498,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -83.465587,
        "energy": 74.142398,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.665238,
          4.889351,
          6.980408,
          12.285069
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}