{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8dc5e739-af4a-418d-b57c-7048f702ac12", "symbol": "XUSW", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Swap UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.215, "architecture_energy": 55.965, "architecture_maturity": 80.2, "architecture_confidence": 67.187, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.3, "rotation_up": 48.62, "upward_expansion": 79.84, "deceleration": 71.42, "rotation_down": 29.12, "downward_expansion": 8.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.425333, 102.212363, 101.179716, 99.132061 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 104.82, "trend_reference": 96.684669, "distance_from_trend": 0.084143, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.548613, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285368, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.026209, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.143654, "excess_performance": 0.092419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084143, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033553, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.285368, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025934, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020262, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01181, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143654, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.30795, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109767, "relative_activity": 3.695796, "balance": 4.30795, "dry_up": 1.574721, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01939, "annualized_volatility": 0.12339, "from_high_reference": -0.148551, "from_low_reference": 0.230809 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 96.684669, "fair_value_reference": 81.548613, "structural_low": 87.377336, 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"typical_volume": 25549.15, "trend": 96.326915, "fair_value": 81.270771, "relative_strength": -1.844551, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.062948, "energy": 42.155394, "activity_lines": [ 101.383333, 101.665454, 100.559882, 98.58412 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.82, "volume": 109767, "typical_volume": 29700.5, "trend": 96.684669, "fair_value": 81.548613, "relative_strength": 2.026209, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.215459, "energy": 55.964861, "activity_lines": [ 102.425333, 102.212363, 101.179716, 99.132061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }