{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8dcac10d-127e-4364-9b40-7c477b8e09e2", "symbol": "000718", "name": "Suning Universal Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.982, "architecture_energy": 30.278, "architecture_maturity": 87.522, "architecture_confidence": 64.054, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.32, "rotation_up": 24.41, "upward_expansion": 15.25, "deceleration": 66.5, "rotation_down": 37.1, "downward_expansion": 62.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.841333, 1.836364, 1.916571, 1.988301 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.86, "trend_reference": 2.094667, "distance_from_trend": -0.112031, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.213114, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.159555, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.902985, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.205128, "excess_performance": -0.212528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112031, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081626, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.159555, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111564, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.20903, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0338, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.205128, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.898166, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 104360109, "relative_activity": 0.82207, "balance": 0.898166, "dry_up": 0.876169, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093879, "annualized_volatility": 0.390126, "from_high_reference": -0.497951, "from_low_reference": 0.087719 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.094667, "fair_value_reference": 2.213114, "structural_low": 1.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.005673, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.447368, "median_excess_return": 0.010862, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.269006, "worst_return": -0.234783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.079141, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.012629, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.417361, "worst_return": -0.209904, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.044218, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.06009, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.362793, "worst_return": -0.335908, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 77.04404, "activity_lines": [ 1.8, 1.897818, 1.98881, 2.064581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.84, "volume": 122380616, "typical_volume": 137527448.5, "trend": 2.142333, "fair_value": 2.227118, "relative_strength": -20.10822, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.768296, "energy": 71.996649, "activity_lines": [ 1.803333, 1.876, 1.967429, 2.044086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.78, "volume": 110338427, "typical_volume": 133225218.65, "trend": 2.123333, "fair_value": 2.222503, "relative_strength": -22.488393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.255882, "energy": 55.190021, "activity_lines": [ 1.797333, 1.849091, 1.942857, 2.02071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.87, "volume": 107832524, "typical_volume": 131992682.15, "trend": 2.109, "fair_value": 2.218351, "relative_strength": -16.823972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.124529, "energy": 40.147467, "activity_lines": [ 1.826, 1.842727, 1.929238, 2.004366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.86, "volume": 104360109, "typical_volume": 126947964.4, "trend": 2.094667, "fair_value": 2.213114, "relative_strength": -20.902985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.982479, "energy": 30.278177, "activity_lines": [ 1.841333, 1.836364, 1.916571, 1.988301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }