{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8dd0f5b4-3e0f-4ddc-affc-5c794acbf19b",
    "symbol": "603303",
    "name": "Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 3.203,
    "architecture_energy": 23.243,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.573,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.978,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.93,
        "rotation_up": 14.85,
        "upward_expansion": 41.94,
        "deceleration": 87.92,
        "rotation_down": 47.04,
        "downward_expansion": 35.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.394,
        22.731755,
        23.062536,
        21.411656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 21.73,
    "trend_reference": 19.193359,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.132162,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.861519,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.689536,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 30.485007,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.503806,
    "excess_performance": 0.54701,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.132162,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251947,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.689536,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121024,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30485,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045622,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.503806,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.530937,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16662856,
      "relative_activity": 0.774562,
      "balance": 1.530937,
      "dry_up": 1.093796,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.194997,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.683468,
      "from_high_reference": -0.364991,
      "from_low_reference": 0.880207
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.193359,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.861519,
      "structural_low": 13.03,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.01441,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000809,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.234929,
        "worst_return": -0.073415,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.070403,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034997,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.650648,
        "worst_return": -0.192885,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.126354,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.169972,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.112095,
        "worst_return": -0.276015,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.045017,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033328,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.080919,
        "worst_return": -0.170953,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.110736,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083902,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.062721,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.084691,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.119313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08754,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.078922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.176273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.105848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041522,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.310422,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.174595,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 20204894.05,
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        "fair_value": 12.759815,
        "relative_strength": 16.765993,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.0,
        "volume": 25278875,
        "typical_volume": 21022825.5,
        "trend": 18.898692,
        "fair_value": 12.801665,
        "relative_strength": 18.458125,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.765837,
        "energy": 25.950993,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.73,
        "volume": 16662856,
        "typical_volume": 21512629.1,
        "trend": 19.193359,
        "fair_value": 12.861519,
        "relative_strength": 30.485007,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.203095,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}