{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8ddb85a6-6139-48dd-98ed-fd0bb78dbc42",
    "symbol": "B1PP34",
    "name": "BP p.l.c.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 74.166,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 8.502,
    "architecture_energy": 20.473,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.365,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.879,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.27,
        "rotation_up": 56.5,
        "upward_expansion": 39.19,
        "deceleration": 43.64,
        "rotation_down": 19.94,
        "downward_expansion": 18.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        54.474666,
        53.061454,
        53.430636,
        53.743039
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 53.0,
    "trend_reference": 53.132665,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.002497,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 44.047706,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.203241,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.609446,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.079078,
    "excess_performance": 0.136127,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002497,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038239,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.203241,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025787,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026094,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069346,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079078,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.756665,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1563,
      "relative_activity": 0.225093,
      "balance": 1.756665,
      "dry_up": 0.687232,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.066339,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.324607,
      "from_high_reference": -0.150817,
      "from_low_reference": 0.246977
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.132665,
      "fair_value_reference": 44.047706,
      "structural_low": 45.963904,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.051095,
        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.067179,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.104723,
        "worst_return": -0.053419,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.086935,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.061926,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.145815,
        "worst_return": -0.090579,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.087522,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.045164,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.202755,
        "worst_return": 0.02728,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.11719,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.049382,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.185433,
        "worst_return": 0.066786,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024263,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.090784,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037539,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.138544,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048466,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050574,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019544,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.19941,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.082102,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.122807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.069196,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 12328.45,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.044659,
        "energy": 43.915341,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.110354,
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          53.812369,
          51.886898
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 55.860302,
        "volume": 1703,
        "typical_volume": 11568.85,
        "trend": 49.872938,
        "fair_value": 42.61131,
        "relative_strength": 0.061323,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.217286,
        "energy": 30.308453,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.388241,
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          54.244172,
          52.298615
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 52.489506,
        "volume": 7133,
        "typical_volume": 11163.75,
        "trend": 50.145527,
        "fair_value": 42.708164,
        "relative_strength": -4.325178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.671097,
        "energy": 22.371846,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.905543,
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          54.310608,
          52.467426
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 56.040001,
        "volume": 3544,
        "typical_volume": 11262.65,
        "trend": 50.577522,
        "fair_value": 42.826741,
        "relative_strength": 5.878711,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.939912,
        "energy": 18.677372,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.093877,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 55.41,
        "volume": 4469,
        "typical_volume": 11260.8,
        "trend": 50.925008,
        "fair_value": 42.939045,
        "relative_strength": 5.086964,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.34782,
        "energy": 18.019298,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.145062,
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          53.159487
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 52.700001,
        "volume": 2158,
        "typical_volume": 11234.85,
        "trend": 51.175746,
        "fair_value": 43.03485,
        "relative_strength": 1.23678,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.166742,
        "energy": 15.650147,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.273288,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 55.5,
        "volume": 12,
        "typical_volume": 10543.3,
        "trend": 51.473308,
        "fair_value": 43.154217,
        "relative_strength": 9.3207,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.119267,
        "energy": 11.372681,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.606634,
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          55.130635,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 54.299999,
        "volume": 2049,
        "typical_volume": 10288.25,
        "trend": 51.724829,
        "fair_value": 43.270253,
        "relative_strength": 5.537655,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.382708,
        "energy": 10.557364,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 50.029999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9942.05,
        "trend": 51.813198,
        "fair_value": 43.364041,
        "relative_strength": -1.280577,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -6.098079,
        "energy": 13.226868,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.977333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 48.18,
        "volume": 2102,
        "typical_volume": 9416.25,
        "trend": 51.841527,
        "fair_value": 43.441501,
        "relative_strength": -7.459009,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.862393,
        "energy": 43.381624,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.174666,
          52.697198,
          54.203081,
          53.39161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 49.59,
        "volume": 90,
        "typical_volume": 8892.5,
        "trend": 51.887579,
        "fair_value": 43.525218,
        "relative_strength": -5.270727,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.079234,
        "energy": 50.448366,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.324,
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          53.761461,
          53.246351
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 50.0,
        "volume": 508,
        "typical_volume": 8867.85,
        "trend": 52.002598,
        "fair_value": 43.612818,
        "relative_strength": -6.217127,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.815527,
        "energy": 52.390141,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.817333,
          51.397445,
          53.352774,
          53.124571
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 53.66,
        "volume": 7651,
        "typical_volume": 9152.35,
        "trend": 52.264014,
        "fair_value": 43.71832,
        "relative_strength": 3.116531,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.073828,
        "energy": 34.444795,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.897333,
          51.622182,
          53.285283,
          53.2315
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.68,
        "volume": 7430,
        "typical_volume": 8247.95,
        "trend": 52.561209,
        "fair_value": 43.838023,
        "relative_strength": 6.766643,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.414865,
        "energy": 6.740984,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.693333,
          52.192909,
          53.389842,
          53.451887
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.939999,
        "volume": 2444,
        "typical_volume": 7612.95,
        "trend": 52.865924,
        "fair_value": 43.958773,
        "relative_strength": 6.716524,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.288489,
        "energy": 29.125722,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.532666,
          52.999272,
          53.599895,
          53.734389
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.0,
        "volume": 1563,
        "typical_volume": 6943.8,
        "trend": 53.132665,
        "fair_value": 44.047706,
        "relative_strength": 2.609446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.501646,
        "energy": 20.472552,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.474666,
          53.061454,
          53.430636,
          53.743039
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}