{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8dfbec73-3b76-403d-9508-d3f9f06b0436", "symbol": "RDT", "name": "Rosslyn Data Technologies plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -83.888, "architecture_energy": 78.019, "architecture_maturity": 77.636, "architecture_confidence": 90.215, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.7, "rotation_up": 21.89, "upward_expansion": 15.19, "deceleration": 44.19, "rotation_down": 64.07, "downward_expansion": 86.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.017033, 0.017645, 0.01811, 0.019503 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.016, "trend_reference": 0.022217, "distance_from_trend": -0.27982, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.074362, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.784837, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -47.513298, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.483871, "excess_performance": -0.535106, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.27982, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.188185, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.784837, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023659, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.475133, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018206, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.483871, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 330540, "relative_activity": 0.77126, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.449185, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067308, "annualized_volatility": 0.38952, "from_high_reference": -0.607843, "from_low_reference": 0.066667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.022217, "fair_value_reference": 0.074362, "structural_low": 0.015, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 53, "median_return": -0.025, "positive_rate": 0.283019, "directional_follow_through": 0.528302, "median_excess_return": -0.030696, "regime_survival": 0.886792, "best_return": 0.567568, "worst_return": -0.447619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.177778, "positive_rate": 0.235294, "directional_follow_through": 0.764706, "median_excess_return": -0.25676, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.424561, "worst_return": -0.504348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.346341, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.33276, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.595506, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 0.018333, 0.018409, 0.018676, 0.020383 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0165, "volume": 378937, "typical_volume": 418300.7, "trend": 0.022783, "fair_value": 0.075782, "relative_strength": -46.741578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.07707, "energy": 68.027395, "activity_lines": [ 0.0177, 0.018055, 0.018393, 0.019941 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.016, "volume": 330540, "typical_volume": 428571.55, "trend": 0.022217, "fair_value": 0.074362, "relative_strength": -47.513298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.888389, "energy": 78.019365, "activity_lines": [ 0.017033, 0.017645, 0.01811, 0.019503 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }