{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e048a84-4f74-4f03-8288-ac69dc34bcf1",
    "symbol": "JHSC",
    "name": "JOHN HANCOCK EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR MULTIFACTOR SMALL CAP ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.382,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.321,
    "architecture_energy": 56.38,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.822,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.94,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.18,
        "rotation_up": 61.38,
        "upward_expansion": 83.63,
        "deceleration": 55.99,
        "rotation_down": 23.35,
        "downward_expansion": 7.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        48.63104,
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        47.599497,
        46.806583
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 49.428,
    "trend_reference": 46.005689,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074389,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.226286,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.260073,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.171315,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069407,
    "excess_performance": -0.056218,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074389,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045018,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.260073,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03635,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001713,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013109,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069407,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.442248,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 154601,
      "relative_activity": 0.684594,
      "balance": 0.442248,
      "dry_up": 1.215965,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025283,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.140616,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009657,
      "from_low_reference": 0.265553
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.005689,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.226286,
      "structural_low": 41.67,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.007422,
        "positive_rate": 0.62069,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62069,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010353,
        "regime_survival": 0.689655,
        "best_return": 0.058897,
        "worst_return": -0.075853,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.002824,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
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        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.055763,
        "worst_return": -0.089583,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.055485,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.112997,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.131551,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -1.290036,
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        "relative_strength": 1.157383,
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        "direction": 76.532979,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 4.087141,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 182207.45,
        "trend": 45.093232,
        "fair_value": 38.743286,
        "relative_strength": 1.059801,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 45.270887,
        "fair_value": 38.839089,
        "relative_strength": -0.298727,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.322243,
        "energy": 69.32738,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 100270,
        "typical_volume": 197692.35,
        "trend": 45.459765,
        "fair_value": 38.933518,
        "relative_strength": 1.608358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.033291,
        "energy": 66.829323,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.228342
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.24,
        "volume": 603241,
        "typical_volume": 220020.9,
        "trend": 45.641422,
        "fair_value": 39.026267,
        "relative_strength": 2.048881,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.256866,
        "energy": 53.202249,
        "activity_lines": [
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          47.096998,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.23,
        "volume": 240287,
        "typical_volume": 226201.85,
        "trend": 45.834089,
        "fair_value": 39.121448,
        "relative_strength": 0.877423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.916705,
        "energy": 48.315113,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.220893,
          48.08423,
          47.304795,
          46.574717
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 49.428,
        "volume": 154601,
        "typical_volume": 225828.75,
        "trend": 46.005689,
        "fair_value": 39.226286,
        "relative_strength": -0.171315,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.321098,
        "energy": 56.380059,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}