{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e0a445e-c84a-4aa5-9385-644a1fa9918e",
    "symbol": "ROTO",
    "name": "Roto Pumps Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.223,
    "architecture_energy": 26.366,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.848,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.209,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.07,
        "rotation_up": 30.49,
        "upward_expansion": 60.69,
        "deceleration": 90.54,
        "rotation_down": 25.18,
        "downward_expansion": 15.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.386668,
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        64.981858,
        62.901033
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 67.470001,
    "trend_reference": 60.821667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.109309,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 74.897787,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.099172,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.239533,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.142398,
    "excess_performance": 0.186107,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109309,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013345,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099172,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101323,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032395,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.184701,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142398,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.546998,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3255001,
      "relative_activity": 1.088647,
      "balance": 1.546998,
      "dry_up": 0.883843,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083513,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.392953,
      "from_high_reference": -0.255298,
      "from_low_reference": 0.420421
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.821667,
      "fair_value_reference": 74.897787,
      "structural_low": 47.5,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.045598,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02422,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.240538,
        "worst_return": -0.08585,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.198698,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.157598,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.11032,
        "worst_return": -0.240744,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.306212,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.271873,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.324505,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096361,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": -0.128421,
        "worst_return": -0.128421,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.270997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.02668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.325339,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.22848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01114,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.205604,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.065947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.150935,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 61.87,
        "fair_value": 74.316632,
        "relative_strength": -16.852501,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 17.983766,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 57.450001,
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        "typical_volume": 4295313.95,
        "trend": 60.940666,
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        "relative_strength": -15.61609,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -16.283562,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 4110354.8,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -16.333236,
        "energy": 8.92301,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 56.07,
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        "typical_volume": 3917948.7,
        "trend": 60.020666,
        "fair_value": 74.399924,
        "relative_strength": -16.029053,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 16.002542,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 3863238.3,
        "trend": 59.881,
        "fair_value": 74.436795,
        "relative_strength": -5.491444,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.065839,
        "energy": 3.796729,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 17740779,
        "typical_volume": 4627776.4,
        "trend": 59.947333,
        "fair_value": 74.434595,
        "relative_strength": -2.366444,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 60.559333,
        "fair_value": 74.522859,
        "relative_strength": 11.759282,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 58.001302,
        "energy": 70.825949,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 71.230003,
        "volume": 1641178,
        "typical_volume": 4095444.95,
        "trend": 60.927333,
        "fair_value": 74.566767,
        "relative_strength": 6.772855,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.946138,
        "energy": 71.22544,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 69.230003,
        "volume": 6431927,
        "typical_volume": 4286283.15,
        "trend": 61.192,
        "fair_value": 74.605341,
        "relative_strength": 5.022616,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.375542,
        "energy": 77.501825,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.832002,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 65.050003,
        "volume": 2080495,
        "typical_volume": 4232413.45,
        "trend": 60.833334,
        "fair_value": 74.661088,
        "relative_strength": -1.059837,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.038976,
        "energy": 72.126781,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.599336,
          66.618547,
          63.092001,
          61.557484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 68.080002,
        "volume": 3144131,
        "typical_volume": 4306838.65,
        "trend": 60.713667,
        "fair_value": 74.74948,
        "relative_strength": 6.595929,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.14823,
        "energy": 44.385483,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.341336,
          67.310365,
          63.819667,
          62.025011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.470001,
        "volume": 2090972,
        "typical_volume": 2949712.2,
        "trend": 60.648,
        "fair_value": 74.822226,
        "relative_strength": 3.538665,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.061116,
        "energy": 31.552117,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.634002,
          67.698002,
          64.425191,
          62.460904
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 67.470001,
        "volume": 3255001,
        "typical_volume": 2989952.15,
        "trend": 60.821667,
        "fair_value": 74.897787,
        "relative_strength": 3.239533,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.222692,
        "energy": 26.365662,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.386668,
          67.916547,
          64.981858,
          62.901033
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}