{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e1cc241-9266-4187-a007-42920e2af448",
    "symbol": "SIVI",
    "name": "Siljansvik AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 50.974,
    "architecture_energy": 31.64,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.188,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.382,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.66,
        "rotation_up": 39.33,
        "upward_expansion": 74.96,
        "deceleration": 68.78,
        "rotation_down": 26.66,
        "downward_expansion": 3.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        115.893332,
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        112.264316
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 116.0,
    "trend_reference": 106.694039,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087221,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 84.304758,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37596,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.784874,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.335136,
    "excess_performance": 0.273642,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087221,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091534,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.37596,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050789,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047849,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009148,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335136,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.689132,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6868,
      "relative_activity": 0.434204,
      "balance": 1.689132,
      "dry_up": 0.524437,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043078,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.324653,
      "from_high_reference": -0.109239,
      "from_low_reference": 0.408251
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 84.304758,
      "structural_low": 84.921287,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.004975,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004927,
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        "worst_return": -0.228692,
        "sufficient": true
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        "worst_return": -0.255696,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "trend": 92.730259,
        "fair_value": 77.988332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 95.502131,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 30681.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 4.011983,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 28152.3,
        "trend": 99.401883,
        "fair_value": 80.868021,
        "relative_strength": 6.62501,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 81.708859,
        "relative_strength": 8.205662,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 29.784817,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 25047.2,
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        "fair_value": 82.132919,
        "relative_strength": 5.744113,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 24331.9,
        "trend": 102.995274,
        "fair_value": 82.566159,
        "relative_strength": 10.14552,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 41.734566,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 115.400002,
        "volume": 6143,
        "typical_volume": 22719.45,
        "trend": 103.926244,
        "fair_value": 83.002492,
        "relative_strength": 9.790633,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.138151,
        "energy": 38.225171,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.666667,
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          110.117691
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 116.599998,
        "volume": 13191,
        "typical_volume": 17164.5,
        "trend": 104.838377,
        "fair_value": 83.436809,
        "relative_strength": 9.118698,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.704352,
        "energy": 39.481624,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.04,
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          110.935352
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 115.199997,
        "volume": 6979,
        "typical_volume": 16133.4,
        "trend": 105.762681,
        "fair_value": 83.865792,
        "relative_strength": 6.231665,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.650034,
        "energy": 34.343196,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.839999,
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          111.603844
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 116.0,
        "volume": 6868,
        "typical_volume": 15817.45,
        "trend": 106.694039,
        "fair_value": 84.304758,
        "relative_strength": 4.784874,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.974473,
        "energy": 31.639625,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}