{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e352dc8-a716-4e15-9b76-d044e90f5234", "symbol": "SHIP", "name": "Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.897, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.818, "architecture_energy": 61.691, "architecture_maturity": 19.446, "architecture_confidence": 82.518, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.57, "rotation_up": 67.57, "upward_expansion": 86.1, "deceleration": 46.24, "rotation_down": 16.23, "downward_expansion": 17.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.385333, 15.587841, 15.311275, 14.79393 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 16.86, "trend_reference": 13.841541, "distance_from_trend": 0.218072, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.619029, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.956137, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 28.937549, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.606379, "excess_performance": 0.418926, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.218072, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16784, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.956137, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171237, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.289375, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180713, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.606379, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.61628, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2004919, "relative_activity": 1.714544, "balance": 0.61628, "dry_up": 1.272316, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102609, "annualized_volatility": 0.557672, "from_high_reference": -0.087662, "from_low_reference": 1.425025 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.841541, "fair_value_reference": 8.619029, "structural_low": 10.379582, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.001939, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.026858, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.439216, "worst_return": -0.251075, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.245671, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.176449, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.380534, "worst_return": -0.414138, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.12453, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.035845, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.610596, "worst_return": -0.555233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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14.96, "volume": 806434, "typical_volume": 1203337.2, "trend": 12.907282, "fair_value": 8.324554, "relative_strength": 19.633621, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.040311, "energy": 22.059143, "activity_lines": [ 14.3681, 14.734647, 14.663662, 14.041141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.01, "volume": 1304609, "typical_volume": 1173793.8, "trend": 13.070991, "fair_value": 8.385394, "relative_strength": 15.811044, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.754605, "energy": 14.59721, "activity_lines": [ 14.167199, 14.546173, 14.636787, 14.112284 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.18, "volume": 1012734, "typical_volume": 1119240.8, "trend": 13.304771, "fair_value": 8.456661, "relative_strength": 34.220588, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.326171, "energy": 21.67574, "activity_lines": [ 14.842329, 14.795143, 14.817082, 14.312866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.49, "volume": 1628922, "typical_volume": 1122608.5, "trend": 13.588738, "fair_value": 8.540196, "relative_strength": 42.201244, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.852903, "energy": 51.408706, "activity_lines": [ 15.836667, 15.272301, 15.107295, 14.58288 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.86, "volume": 2004919, "typical_volume": 1169360.15, "trend": 13.841541, "fair_value": 8.619029, "relative_strength": 28.937549, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.817641, "energy": 61.691204, "activity_lines": [ 16.385333, 15.587841, 15.311275, 14.79393 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }