{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e3e40fd-951c-4a10-8871-9d874c31afc0", "symbol": "OMC", "name": "Omnicom Group Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.085, "architecture_energy": 59.932, "architecture_maturity": 11.294, "architecture_confidence": 73.842, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.94, "rotation_up": 67.42, "upward_expansion": 84.74, "deceleration": 47.01, "rotation_down": 11.27, "downward_expansion": 11.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 81.691333, 79.800806, 77.477603, 76.892777 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 85.24, "trend_reference": 76.368257, "distance_from_trend": 0.116171, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 78.765787, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.082196, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.255479, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.245495, "excess_performance": 0.11987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116171, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015151, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.082196, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118522, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.002555, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086424, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.245495, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.003601, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14402994, "relative_activity": 0.712865, "balance": 1.003601, "dry_up": 0.817166, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069415, "annualized_volatility": 0.398652, "from_high_reference": -0.024826, "from_low_reference": 0.311875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.368257, "fair_value_reference": 78.765787, "structural_low": 65.294413, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.016672, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.019636, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.107087, "worst_return": -0.100558, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.003779, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.033502, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.176414, "worst_return": -0.201228, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.036494, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.077658, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.18086, "worst_return": -0.151778, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-17", "close": 81.73, "volume": 14616273, "typical_volume": 21372136.65, "trend": 76.09841, "fair_value": 78.612738, "relative_strength": -0.269668, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.447545, "energy": 43.966109, "activity_lines": [ 79.317333, 77.07096, 75.888701, 75.908781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 79.66, "volume": 12878828, "typical_volume": 20956786.45, "trend": 76.140726, "fair_value": 78.646977, "relative_strength": -2.070944, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.245089, "energy": 49.106071, "activity_lines": [ 80.089333, 77.84483, 76.263212, 76.138561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.7, "volume": 24143266, "typical_volume": 20925447.55, "trend": 76.108923, "fair_value": 78.680544, "relative_strength": -4.203233, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.45177, "energy": 55.269097, "activity_lines": [ 79.987333, 78.269833, 76.563104, 76.303675 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 85.24, "volume": 14402994, "typical_volume": 20204377.95, "trend": 76.368257, "fair_value": 78.765787, "relative_strength": 0.255479, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.085222, "energy": 59.931763, "activity_lines": [ 81.691333, 79.800806, 77.477603, 76.892777 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }