{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e4c22bf-1445-4f06-8189-b359935c494d", "symbol": "600481", "name": "Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.246, "architecture_energy": 63.218, "architecture_maturity": 42.306, "architecture_confidence": 86.802, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.45, "rotation_up": 19.26, "upward_expansion": 11.44, "deceleration": 52.77, "rotation_down": 66.75, "downward_expansion": 87.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.134667, 4.330364, 4.970381, 5.579634 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.34, "trend_reference": 6.403667, "distance_from_trend": -0.322263, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.408343, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.322758, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.556671, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.511811, "excess_performance": -0.468607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.322263, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079801, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.322758, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232985, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.305567, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.23957, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.511811, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.155266, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 273425821, "relative_activity": 0.689058, "balance": 1.155266, "dry_up": 0.662743, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158809, "annualized_volatility": 0.726611, "from_high_reference": -0.624567, "from_low_reference": 0.222535 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.403667, "fair_value_reference": 6.408343, "structural_low": 3.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.050394, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.027965, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.399061, "worst_return": -0.208233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.110137, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.078175, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.654255, "worst_return": -0.374956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.217673, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.166392, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.609043, "worst_return": -0.496856, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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6.561373, "relative_strength": -34.253478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.595396, "energy": 81.139601, "activity_lines": [ 4.458667, 4.812545, 5.461, 6.056172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.82, "volume": 299848147, "typical_volume": 429699596.2, "trend": 6.536, "fair_value": 6.506175, "relative_strength": -37.751405, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.201141, "energy": 76.113682, "activity_lines": [ 4.208, 4.548364, 5.255762, 5.877247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.06, "volume": 211499533, "typical_volume": 411466995.05, "trend": 6.477, "fair_value": 6.453747, "relative_strength": -33.708554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.617671, "energy": 66.286996, "activity_lines": [ 4.098667, 4.381273, 5.091667, 5.717505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.34, "volume": 273425821, "typical_volume": 396810869.95, "trend": 6.403667, "fair_value": 6.408343, "relative_strength": -30.556671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.246217, "energy": 63.217881, "activity_lines": [ 4.134667, 4.330364, 4.970381, 5.579634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }