{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e4fbdf4-5179-48dd-a661-41d442730543", "symbol": "FLXT", "name": "Franklin FTSE Taiwan UCITS ETF", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.92, "architecture_energy": 28.431, "architecture_maturity": 73.295, "architecture_confidence": 90.316, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.77, "rotation_up": 26.25, "upward_expansion": 60.25, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 31.57, "downward_expansion": 21.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.782467, 59.124346, 57.835162, 54.594568 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 59.150002, "trend_reference": 50.182967, "distance_from_trend": 0.178687, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.567148, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.574514, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 27.533618, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.48495, "excess_performance": 0.431638, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.178687, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.193093, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.574514, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04226, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.275336, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218082, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.48495, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.605219, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15087, "relative_activity": 2.973042, "balance": 0.605219, "dry_up": 2.572961, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063445, "annualized_volatility": 0.31833, "from_high_reference": -0.071938, "from_low_reference": 0.93598 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.182967, "fair_value_reference": 37.567148, "structural_low": 39.791, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030073, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.062779, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 29.997, "volume": 322, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 30.33, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": 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47.349234, "fair_value": 36.629643, "relative_strength": 45.509115, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.672613, "energy": 67.060331, "activity_lines": [ 62.232733, 60.843345, 56.144062, 52.319744 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 56.319, "volume": 12926, "typical_volume": 3291.05, "trend": 48.086934, "fair_value": 36.861283, "relative_strength": 30.74219, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.280941, "energy": 59.743334, "activity_lines": [ 60.3626, 60.302254, 56.579876, 52.898439 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 57.894001, "volume": 8603, "typical_volume": 3678.95, "trend": 48.8455, "fair_value": 37.105849, "relative_strength": 32.380968, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.843287, "energy": 47.123989, "activity_lines": [ 59.242134, 60.018564, 57.103991, 53.531153 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.655998, "volume": 15611, "typical_volume": 4322.2, "trend": 49.477567, "fair_value": 37.319069, "relative_strength": 24.097134, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.82542, "energy": 26.626684, "activity_lines": [ 57.765066, 59.2474, 57.337419, 53.97054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.150002, "volume": 15087, "typical_volume": 5074.6, "trend": 50.182967, "fair_value": 37.567148, "relative_strength": 27.533618, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.920159, "energy": 28.431352, "activity_lines": [ 57.782467, 59.124346, 57.835162, 54.594568 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }