{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e5b1d17-0633-4a5d-8552-88fc03428e5b", "symbol": "KIE", "name": "Kier Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 53.095, "architecture_energy": 69.033, "architecture_maturity": 21.745, "architecture_confidence": 74.886, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.68, "rotation_up": 75.0, "upward_expansion": 64.22, "deceleration": 21.1, "rotation_down": 16.86, "downward_expansion": 22.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 239.28, 230.56, 220.623107, 218.374454 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 250.6, "trend_reference": 218.518374, "distance_from_trend": 0.146814, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 164.764194, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.520962, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.858709, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.096851, "excess_performance": 0.045616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.146814, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009402, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.520962, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140032, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.068587, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113231, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096851, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.666197, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5682629, "relative_activity": 1.10369, "balance": 3.666197, "dry_up": 1.249043, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063622, "annualized_volatility": 0.34314, "from_high_reference": -0.015173, "from_low_reference": 0.403627 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 218.518374, "fair_value_reference": 164.764194, "structural_low": 186.777317, "invalidation": "A 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213.145455, 210.233819, 212.976892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 221.8, "volume": 6618250, "typical_volume": 5333305.3, "trend": 216.462335, "fair_value": 161.77107, "relative_strength": -2.673138, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.295898, "energy": 33.207222, "activity_lines": [ 220.093333, 215.26, 211.33229, 213.317659 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 239.4, "volume": 8406684, "typical_volume": 5312586.25, "trend": 216.99324, "fair_value": 162.745273, "relative_strength": 3.665786, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.72876, "energy": 53.9371, "activity_lines": [ 227.026667, 220.392727, 214.183957, 214.797509 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 239.6, "volume": 5016497, "typical_volume": 5256874.1, "trend": 217.764117, "fair_value": 163.714353, "relative_strength": 2.485152, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.828185, "energy": 58.450857, "activity_lines": [ 232.106667, 224.803636, 216.940737, 216.256009 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 250.6, "volume": 5682629, "typical_volume": 5148753.05, "trend": 218.518374, "fair_value": 164.764194, "relative_strength": 6.858709, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.094525, "energy": 69.032619, "activity_lines": [ 239.28, 230.56, 220.623107, 218.374454 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }