{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e6cb862-f28a-4909-9447-8784972ccc0b", "symbol": "XTGLOBAL", "name": "XTGlobal Infotech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 72.445, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -1.543, "architecture_energy": 9.587, "architecture_maturity": 16.723, "architecture_confidence": 57.107, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.78, "rotation_up": 46.07, "upward_expansion": 21.13, "deceleration": 38.35, "rotation_down": 25.59, "downward_expansion": 37.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.836, 30.006182, 30.220572, 30.488344 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.66, "trend_reference": 30.599333, "distance_from_trend": 0.034663, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.840344, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.116638, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.025669, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.057448, "excess_performance": 0.101157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034663, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067015, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.116638, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004665, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.040257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015452, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.057448, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.979479, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 586230, "relative_activity": 2.132323, "balance": 0.979479, "dry_up": 2.037469, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097745, "annualized_volatility": 0.654431, "from_high_reference": -0.314556, "from_low_reference": 0.256349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.599333, "fair_value_reference": 35.840344, "structural_low": 25.82, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.023654, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.016178, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.028891, "worst_return": -0.11731, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.128852, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.123391, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.128852, "worst_return": -0.128852, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { 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-65.475319, "energy": 48.946582, "activity_lines": [ 28.732667, 29.355273, 30.222905, 30.558624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.49, "volume": 150947, "typical_volume": 260744.9, "trend": 30.87, "fair_value": 35.985355, "relative_strength": -12.988552, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.04399, "energy": 35.703484, "activity_lines": [ 28.621333, 29.08, 29.976714, 30.389742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.99, "volume": 270577, "typical_volume": 217543.85, "trend": 30.629667, "fair_value": 35.902928, "relative_strength": -12.222984, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.581315, "energy": 49.016873, "activity_lines": [ 28.369333, 28.782545, 29.731238, 30.203936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.950001, "volume": 1232855, "typical_volume": 260967.55, "trend": 30.572, "fair_value": 35.883, "relative_strength": 3.720618, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.143895, "energy": 7.399668, "activity_lines": [ 30.084, 29.626, 30.088381, 30.418151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.66, "volume": 586230, "typical_volume": 274925.5, "trend": 30.599333, "fair_value": 35.840344, "relative_strength": -4.025669, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.54288, "energy": 9.586861, "activity_lines": [ 30.836, 30.006182, 30.220572, 30.488344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }