{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e6d933e-2f57-435d-9476-8b16d42fa997", "symbol": "002019", "name": "Yifan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.11, "architecture_energy": 28.539, "architecture_maturity": 90.481, "architecture_confidence": 73.786, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.3, "rotation_up": 27.65, "upward_expansion": 21.48, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 27.61, "downward_expansion": 57.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.164667, 10.034545, 10.262941, 10.78301 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.34, "trend_reference": 11.406696, "distance_from_trend": -0.093515, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.23232, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.154698, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.305814, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.141391, "excess_performance": -0.148791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093515, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063399, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.154698, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031878, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193058, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128459, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.141391, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.005061, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56393303, "relative_activity": 0.885186, "balance": 1.005061, "dry_up": 1.262294, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060945, "annualized_volatility": 0.322769, "from_high_reference": -0.373308, "from_low_reference": 0.103522 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.406696, "fair_value_reference": 12.23232, "structural_low": 9.37, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.026966, "positive_rate": 0.62069, "directional_follow_through": 0.37931, "median_excess_return": -0.006102, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.219853, "worst_return": -0.149746, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.081235, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.063717, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.300808, "worst_return": -0.200573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071161, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.014388, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.37156, "worst_return": -0.215741, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.21, "volume": 131475564, "typical_volume": 76200983.1, "trend": 11.575846, "fair_value": 12.30255, "relative_strength": -19.773116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.298255, "energy": 54.799992, "activity_lines": [ 9.940667, 9.967206, 10.526655, 11.049402 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.8, "volume": 85642634, "typical_volume": 72940346.3, "trend": 11.50637, "fair_value": 12.276441, "relative_strength": -22.384772, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.205119, "energy": 48.007757, "activity_lines": [ 9.926667, 9.916921, 10.389664, 10.934831 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.27, "volume": 48160476, "typical_volume": 66467857.2, "trend": 11.456852, "fair_value": 12.253159, "relative_strength": -16.65707, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.592572, "energy": 37.67784, "activity_lines": [ 10.063333, 9.97, 10.313349, 10.855065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.34, "volume": 56393303, "typical_volume": 63707838.45, "trend": 11.406696, "fair_value": 12.23232, "relative_strength": -19.305814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.110247, "energy": 28.539365, "activity_lines": [ 10.164667, 10.034545, 10.262941, 10.78301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }