{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e723765-6862-482e-b564-a0452abb4eea", "symbol": "3078", "name": "Channel Well Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.925, "architecture_energy": 34.667, "architecture_maturity": 82.446, "architecture_confidence": 95.619, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.79, "rotation_up": 19.42, "upward_expansion": 3.57, "deceleration": 51.19, "rotation_down": 52.07, "downward_expansion": 76.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.133332, 53.576363, 54.500476, 55.434624 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 53.099998, "trend_reference": 57.15, "distance_from_trend": -0.070866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 69.166598, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.232288, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.317581, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.129508, "excess_performance": -0.57088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070866, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090016, "read": "Falling" 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49.650002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.01321, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.034407, "regime_survival": 0.911765, "best_return": 0.114, "worst_return": -0.132948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.056947, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.071048, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.244057, "worst_return": -0.159944, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.110799, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.026783, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.778378, "worst_return": -0.200278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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56.811828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.700001, "volume": 3532716, "typical_volume": 6089799.9, "trend": 58.753334, "fair_value": 69.484994, "relative_strength": -45.613263, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.05777, "energy": 36.801775, "activity_lines": [ 53.633335, 54.352728, 55.179048, 56.385377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.599998, "volume": 3567401, "typical_volume": 5997819.3, "trend": 58.153334, "fair_value": 69.379391, "relative_strength": -43.948655, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.183377, "energy": 39.031563, "activity_lines": [ 53.22, 53.901819, 54.856191, 55.988387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.099998, "volume": 2713807, "typical_volume": 5856981.4, "trend": 57.63, "fair_value": 69.275091, "relative_strength": -42.573093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.772426, "energy": 41.270969, "activity_lines": [ 53.266666, 53.798182, 54.712857, 55.726882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 53.099998, "volume": 3564722, "typical_volume": 5747870.0, "trend": 57.15, "fair_value": 69.166598, "relative_strength": -44.317581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.925178, "energy": 34.667211, "activity_lines": [ 53.133332, 53.576363, 54.500476, 55.434624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }