{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e728c26-fe00-492b-ac23-46ff8529437d",
    "symbol": "RSPT",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P 500 EQL WGT TECHNOLOGY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.317,
    "architecture_energy": 35.649,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.511,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.61,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.51,
        "rotation_up": 36.97,
        "upward_expansion": 59.27,
        "deceleration": 88.09,
        "rotation_down": 27.03,
        "downward_expansion": 20.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.639333,
        61.64905,
        60.522035,
        57.681893
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 64.65,
    "trend_reference": 54.081238,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.195424,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.907679,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.619989,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.937405,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.382878,
    "excess_performance": 0.257253,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195424,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112004,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.619989,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055748,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159374,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004455,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.382878,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.008049,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3096851,
      "relative_activity": 1.028723,
      "balance": 1.008049,
      "dry_up": 1.169195,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059686,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.248861,
      "from_high_reference": -0.041442,
      "from_low_reference": 0.606433
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.081238,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.907679,
      "structural_low": 43.2,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.03885,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009164,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.092723,
        "worst_return": -0.035969,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.068535,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005281,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.134373,
        "worst_return": 0.043819,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.123691,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02276,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.436435,
        "worst_return": -0.040256,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.026352,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039706,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.323549,
        "worst_return": -0.198592,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.003506,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063862,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.068554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.241725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.09726,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.024287,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.01,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.124669,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.089668,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 39.091861,
        "relative_strength": 17.281872,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 59.43,
        "volume": 5030408,
        "typical_volume": 2803397.5,
        "trend": 52.576967,
        "fair_value": 39.283619,
        "relative_strength": 12.310699,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.971564,
        "energy": 40.054294,
        "activity_lines": [
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          59.002869,
          56.048226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 59.33,
        "volume": 3059284,
        "typical_volume": 2875769.1,
        "trend": 53.005614,
        "fair_value": 39.473406,
        "relative_strength": 12.3506,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.05699,
        "energy": 31.819252,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.492,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.42,
        "volume": 2892365,
        "typical_volume": 2973079.35,
        "trend": 53.495574,
        "fair_value": 39.675877,
        "relative_strength": 12.725115,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.448983,
        "energy": 27.149112,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.313333,
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          59.781386,
          56.962253
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.65,
        "volume": 3096851,
        "typical_volume": 3010384.2,
        "trend": 54.081238,
        "fair_value": 39.907679,
        "relative_strength": 15.937405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.317038,
        "energy": 35.648838,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}